Stock Analysis

Blue Owl Capital's (NYSE:OWL) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.18

NYSE:OWL
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The board of Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE:OWL) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.18 on the 30th of May, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 4.0%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Blue Owl Capital

Blue Owl Capital's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, the company wasn't making enough to cover what it was paying to shareholders. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues.

According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 51%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.

historic-dividend
NYSE:OWL Historic Dividend May 5th 2024

Blue Owl Capital Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 3 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. Since 2021, the annual payment back then was $0.16, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.72. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 65% a year over that time. Blue Owl Capital has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Blue Owl Capital has seen EPS rising for the last three years, at 139% per annum. Although earnings per share is up nicely Blue Owl Capital is paying out 398% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. Strong earnings growth means Blue Owl Capital has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Blue Owl Capital (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about. Is Blue Owl Capital not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.