Blue Owl Capital Valuation

Is OWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OWL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OWL's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OWL?

Key metric: As OWL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OWL. This is calculated by dividing OWL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OWL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio130.5x
EarningsUS$106.90m
Market CapUS$36.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OWL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
STT State Street
14.8x13.5%US$28.2b
AMP Ameriprise Financial
20.5x9.3%US$55.3b
TROW T. Rowe Price Group
13x0.3%US$26.3b
NTRS Northern Trust
13.3x-9.4%US$21.6b
OWL Blue Owl Capital
130.5x59.2%US$36.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (130.5x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OWL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.6xn/aUS$2.50b
CET Central Securities
4.5xn/aUS$1.32b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.1xn/aUS$1.16b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
OWL 130.5xIndustry Avg. 24.3xNo. of Companies74PE020406080100+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (130.5x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (24.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OWL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OWL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio130.5x
Fair PE Ratio42.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (130.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OWL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$24.55
US$23.55
-4.1%
10.9%US$27.00US$16.25n/a15
Nov ’25US$21.45
US$23.35
+8.9%
10.3%US$27.00US$17.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$19.51
US$20.25
+3.8%
9.1%US$24.00US$17.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$17.64
US$20.27
+14.9%
8.9%US$24.00US$17.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$17.18
US$20.38
+18.7%
10.8%US$24.00US$16.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$17.81
US$21.12
+18.6%
9.3%US$24.00US$16.50n/a13
Jun ’25US$17.99
US$21.50
+19.5%
9.3%US$24.00US$16.50n/a11
May ’25US$18.65
US$21.23
+13.8%
10.1%US$24.00US$16.50n/a11
Apr ’25US$18.57
US$20.04
+7.9%
9.6%US$23.00US$16.50n/a13
Mar ’25US$17.98
US$19.83
+10.3%
9.2%US$23.00US$16.50n/a13
Feb ’25US$15.57
US$17.40
+11.7%
8.3%US$21.00US$15.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$14.90
US$16.07
+7.8%
8.2%US$18.00US$13.50n/a11
Dec ’24US$13.61
US$15.38
+13.0%
8.8%US$18.00US$13.50n/a10
Nov ’24US$12.55
US$15.40
+22.7%
8.8%US$18.00US$13.00US$21.4510
Oct ’24US$12.96
US$15.00
+15.7%
9.9%US$18.00US$13.00US$19.5111
Sep ’24US$11.99
US$14.91
+24.3%
10.2%US$18.00US$13.00US$17.6411
Aug ’24US$12.28
US$14.45
+17.7%
11.5%US$19.00US$13.00US$17.1811
Jul ’24US$11.65
US$14.45
+24.1%
11.5%US$19.00US$13.00US$17.8111
Jun ’24US$10.20
US$14.41
+41.3%
11.3%US$19.00US$13.00US$17.9911
May ’24US$11.18
US$14.93
+33.5%
12.9%US$19.00US$12.00US$18.6510
Apr ’24US$11.08
US$15.23
+37.4%
14.0%US$19.00US$11.00US$18.5710
Mar ’24US$12.40
US$15.38
+24.0%
14.2%US$19.00US$11.00US$17.9810
Feb ’24US$12.92
US$14.65
+13.4%
11.2%US$17.00US$11.00US$15.5710
Jan ’24US$10.60
US$14.50
+36.8%
12.3%US$17.00US$11.50US$14.9010
Dec ’23US$11.08
US$14.60
+31.8%
13.0%US$17.00US$11.50US$13.6110
Nov ’23US$10.05
US$13.88
+38.1%
15.9%US$17.00US$9.00US$12.5510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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