Blue Owl Capital Valuation

Is OWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OWL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OWL's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OWL?

Key metric: As OWL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OWL. This is calculated by dividing OWL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OWL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio125.5x
EarningsUS$106.90m
Market CapUS$35.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OWL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
AMP Ameriprise Financial
19.2x9.2%US$52.0b
STT State Street
15x12.7%US$28.9b
BK Bank of New York Mellon
16.8x10.7%US$56.4b
TROW T. Rowe Price Group
12.6x0.3%US$25.7b
OWL Blue Owl Capital
125.5x59.2%US$35.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (125.5x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OWL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

22 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADX Adams Diversified Equity Fund
3.7xn/aUS$2.29b
CET Central Securities
4.4xn/aUS$1.30b
GAM General American Investors Company
4.2xn/aUS$1.20b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
OWL 125.5xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies72PE020406080100+
22 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (125.5x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OWL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OWL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio125.5x
Fair PE Ratio42.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (125.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OWL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$23.61
US$25.15
+6.5%
13.8%US$33.00US$16.25n/a15
Dec ’25US$23.73
US$23.58
-0.6%
10.9%US$27.00US$16.25n/a15
Nov ’25US$21.45
US$23.35
+8.9%
10.3%US$27.00US$17.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$19.51
US$20.25
+3.8%
9.1%US$24.00US$17.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$17.64
US$20.27
+14.9%
8.9%US$24.00US$17.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$17.18
US$20.38
+18.7%
10.8%US$24.00US$16.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$17.81
US$21.12
+18.6%
9.3%US$24.00US$16.50n/a13
Jun ’25US$17.99
US$21.50
+19.5%
9.3%US$24.00US$16.50n/a11
May ’25US$18.65
US$21.23
+13.8%
10.1%US$24.00US$16.50n/a11
Apr ’25US$18.57
US$20.04
+7.9%
9.6%US$23.00US$16.50n/a13
Mar ’25US$17.98
US$19.83
+10.3%
9.2%US$23.00US$16.50n/a13
Feb ’25US$15.57
US$17.40
+11.7%
8.3%US$21.00US$15.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$14.90
US$16.07
+7.8%
8.2%US$18.00US$13.50n/a11
Dec ’24US$13.61
US$15.38
+13.0%
8.8%US$18.00US$13.50US$23.7310
Nov ’24US$12.55
US$15.40
+22.7%
8.8%US$18.00US$13.00US$21.4510
Oct ’24US$12.96
US$15.00
+15.7%
9.9%US$18.00US$13.00US$19.5111
Sep ’24US$11.99
US$14.91
+24.3%
10.2%US$18.00US$13.00US$17.6411
Aug ’24US$12.28
US$14.45
+17.7%
11.5%US$19.00US$13.00US$17.1811
Jul ’24US$11.65
US$14.45
+24.1%
11.5%US$19.00US$13.00US$17.8111
Jun ’24US$10.20
US$14.41
+41.3%
11.3%US$19.00US$13.00US$17.9911
May ’24US$11.18
US$14.93
+33.5%
12.9%US$19.00US$12.00US$18.6510
Apr ’24US$11.08
US$15.23
+37.4%
14.0%US$19.00US$11.00US$18.5710
Mar ’24US$12.40
US$15.38
+24.0%
14.2%US$19.00US$11.00US$17.9810
Feb ’24US$12.92
US$14.65
+13.4%
11.2%US$17.00US$11.00US$15.5710
Jan ’24US$10.60
US$14.50
+36.8%
12.3%US$17.00US$11.50US$14.9010
Dec ’23US$11.08
US$14.60
+31.8%
13.0%US$17.00US$11.50US$13.6110

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/29 03:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Craig SiegenthalerBofA Global Research
Christopher AllenCitigroup Inc
Casey AlexanderCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC