Blue Owl Capital Inc.

NYSE:OWL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$25.2b

Blue Owl Capital Valuation

Is OWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$0.59
Fair Value
2.7k% overvalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: OWL ($16.27) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OWL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OWL?

Key metric: As OWL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OWL. This is calculated by dividing OWL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OWL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio140.5x
EarningsUS$75.40m
Market CapUS$25.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OWL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.3x
NTRS Northern Trust
15.1x3.38%US$25.4b
STT State Street
12.5x10.06%US$32.7b
CG Carlyle Group
18.3x12.87%US$22.3b
TROW T. Rowe Price Group
11.4x3.99%US$22.3b
OWL Blue Owl Capital
140.5x98.87%US$25.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (140.5x) compared to the peer average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OWL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
3.3xn/aUS$855.11m
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
FRMO FRMO
3.6xn/aUS$386.52m
CRRC.F Cohn Robbins Holdings
4.3xn/aUS$283.01m
OWL 140.5xIndustry Avg. 27.1xNo. of Companies74PE020406080100+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (140.5x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (27.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OWL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OWL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio140.5x
Fair PE Ratio51.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (140.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OWL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.27
US$23.00
+41.36%
11.94%US$28.00US$18.00n/a14
Sep ’26US$18.52
US$23.73
+28.14%
10.44%US$29.00US$21.00n/a13
Aug ’26US$18.84
US$23.77
+26.16%
9.75%US$29.00US$21.00n/a13
Jul ’26US$19.22
US$23.00
+19.67%
11.99%US$28.00US$20.00n/a14
Jun ’26US$18.68
US$22.95
+22.84%
12.18%US$28.00US$20.00n/a14
May ’26US$17.91
US$22.40
+25.07%
14.83%US$32.00US$19.00n/a15
Apr ’26US$20.42
US$27.27
+33.53%
10.92%US$32.00US$22.00n/a15
Mar ’26US$21.53
US$27.60
+28.19%
9.24%US$32.00US$23.00n/a15
Feb ’26US$26.01
US$26.77
+2.91%
9.00%US$32.00US$23.00n/a14
Jan ’26US$23.26
US$25.79
+10.86%
10.17%US$33.00US$21.00n/a14
Dec ’25US$23.73
US$24.11
+1.59%
7.19%US$27.00US$21.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$21.45
US$23.80
+10.97%
7.34%US$27.00US$21.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$19.51
US$20.48
+4.98%
8.18%US$24.00US$17.50US$16.1414
Sep ’25US$17.64
US$20.52
+16.32%
7.86%US$24.00US$17.50US$18.5213
Aug ’25US$17.18
US$20.67
+20.29%
9.94%US$24.00US$16.00US$18.8412
Jul ’25US$17.81
US$21.50
+20.72%
7.04%US$24.00US$18.50US$19.2212
Jun ’25US$17.99
US$22.00
+22.29%
5.84%US$24.00US$19.00US$18.6810
May ’25US$18.65
US$21.70
+16.35%
7.44%US$24.00US$19.00US$17.9110
Apr ’25US$18.57
US$20.33
+9.50%
8.36%US$23.00US$18.00US$20.4212
Mar ’25US$17.98
US$20.10
+11.81%
7.99%US$23.00US$18.00US$21.5312
Feb ’25US$15.57
US$17.40
+11.73%
8.33%US$21.00US$15.00US$26.0112
Jan ’25US$14.90
US$16.07
+7.84%
8.24%US$18.00US$13.50US$23.2611
Dec ’24US$13.61
US$15.38
+12.97%
8.82%US$18.00US$13.50US$23.7310
Nov ’24US$12.55
US$15.40
+22.71%
8.81%US$18.00US$13.00US$21.4510
Oct ’24US$12.96
US$15.00
+15.74%
9.95%US$18.00US$13.00US$19.5111
US$23
Fair Value
29.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/05 00:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin BudishBarclays
Craig SiegenthalerBofA Global Research
Christopher AllenCitigroup Inc