MoneyLion Valuation
Is ML undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ML when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ML's fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ML's fair value for valuation analysis.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ML?
Key metric: As ML is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is ML's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 1.9x |
| Sales | US$500.28m |
| Market Cap | US$961.81m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 23x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.3x |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does ML's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.7x | ||
DAVE Dave | 3.6x | 13.8% | US$1.1b |
NRDS NerdWallet | 1.6x | 8.8% | US$1.0b |
EZPW EZCORP | 0.6x | 5.6% | US$683.0m |
PRAA PRA Group | 0.8x | 8.5% | US$845.3m |
ML MoneyLion | 1.9x | 22.1% | US$961.8m |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ML is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does ML's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Finance Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ML is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the US Consumer Finance industry average (1.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ML's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 1.9x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 1.8x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ML is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$86.56 | US$104.50 +20.7% | 15.0% | US$133.00 | US$80.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’25 | US$42.72 | US$95.40 +123.3% | 28.1% | US$133.00 | US$60.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Oct ’25 | US$37.41 | US$104.25 +178.7% | 21.6% | US$133.00 | US$70.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | US$46.42 | US$99.40 +114.1% | 22.5% | US$133.00 | US$70.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’25 | US$64.89 | US$105.40 +62.4% | 16.2% | US$133.00 | US$80.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | US$73.66 | US$105.40 +43.1% | 16.2% | US$133.00 | US$80.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | US$98.50 | US$105.40 +7.0% | 16.2% | US$133.00 | US$80.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | US$67.30 | US$101.20 +50.4% | 16.0% | US$127.00 | US$80.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | US$66.43 | US$95.50 +43.8% | 21.4% | US$127.00 | US$75.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | US$51.86 | US$75.00 +44.6% | 22.3% | US$102.00 | US$58.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | US$45.34 | US$72.50 +59.9% | 25.7% | US$102.00 | US$55.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | US$62.69 | US$72.50 +15.6% | 25.7% | US$102.00 | US$55.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | US$42.52 | US$38.00 -10.6% | 29.8% | US$54.00 | US$30.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | US$19.05 | US$28.33 +48.7% | 8.3% | US$30.00 | US$25.00 | US$42.72 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | US$21.64 | US$28.33 +30.9% | 8.3% | US$30.00 | US$25.00 | US$37.41 | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | US$23.08 | US$28.33 +22.8% | 8.3% | US$30.00 | US$25.00 | US$46.42 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | US$14.09 | US$25.33 +79.8% | 14.5% | US$30.00 | US$21.00 | US$64.89 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | US$12.01 | US$27.50 +129.0% | 9.1% | US$30.00 | US$25.00 | US$73.66 | 2 |
| Jun ’24 | US$10.75 | US$27.50 +155.8% | 9.1% | US$30.00 | US$25.00 | US$98.50 | 2 |
| Mar ’24 | US$18.44 | US$130.00 +604.8% | 10.9% | US$150.00 | US$120.00 | US$51.86 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | US$23.74 | US$130.00 +447.6% | 10.9% | US$150.00 | US$120.00 | US$45.34 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | US$18.60 | US$130.00 +598.9% | 10.9% | US$150.00 | US$120.00 | US$62.69 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | US$22.20 | US$130.00 +485.6% | 10.9% | US$150.00 | US$120.00 | US$42.52 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | US$35.10 | US$160.00 +355.8% | 8.8% | US$180.00 | US$150.00 | US$19.05 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Guild Holdings
US$845.4m
Guild Holdings Company originates, sells, and services residential mortgage loans in the United States.
GHLD
US$13.59
7D
-2.7%
1Y
7.9%
VEF
SEK 2.2b
A venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth and growth capital investments.
VEFF.F
SEK 0.20
7D
0%
1Y
n/a
FinVolution Group
US$1.6b
Operates in the online consumer finance industry.
FINV
US$6.63
7D
5.2%
1Y
49.0%