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LendingClub Corporation (NYSE:LC) Surges 33% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Those holding LendingClub Corporation (NYSE:LC) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 33% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 44% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider LendingClub as a highly attractive investment with its 3.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, LendingClub has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for LendingClub
Keen to find out how analysts think LendingClub's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is LendingClub's Growth Trending?
LendingClub's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 134% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 21% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11% per year, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that LendingClub's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From LendingClub's P/E?
Even after such a strong price move, LendingClub's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that LendingClub maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for LendingClub that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:LC
LendingClub
Operates as a bank holding company, that provides range of financial products and services in the United States.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.