Stock Analysis

Does Shift4 (FOUR) Pairing With Liberty and New Euro Debt Reframe Its Integration Story?

  • Earlier this month, Liberty Sports Group and Front Row Hospitality announced a multi-year deal making Shift4 Payments the exclusive technology partner across Liberty’s growing North American sports, entertainment, and live experience portfolio, while Shift4 also completed a €435 million 5.500% senior unsecured notes offering due 2033, priced at 102.5% of principal.
  • This combination of an exclusive venue-technology mandate and fresh euro-denominated funding highlights Shift4’s push to deepen its role in large-scale, integrated fan-commerce ecosystems.
  • We’ll now examine how becoming Liberty’s exclusive technology partner across venues could influence Shift4’s existing investment narrative built around expansion and integration.

Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 22 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.

Shift4 Payments Investment Narrative Recap

To own Shift4, you need to believe in its ability to scale an integrated payments and software platform across hospitality, sports, and international markets while managing rising leverage. The Liberty Sports Group exclusivity aligns well with this expansion story and reinforces the near term catalyst around venue and fan-commerce adoption, but the new euro notes add to an already complex and growing debt stack, which remains one of the key risks to watch.

Among recent updates, the €435 million 5.500% senior unsecured notes due 2033 stand out here, as they layer on top of earlier 2025 bond raises tied to the Global Blue acquisition. For a business investing heavily in international growth and venue technology like SkyTab, this additional euro funding supports the expansion narrative but also heightens sensitivity to integration execution and future interest costs.

Yet investors should also be aware that higher debt and a more complex capital structure could limit flexibility if...

Read the full narrative on Shift4 Payments (it's free!)

Shift4 Payments’ narrative projects $7.0 billion revenue and $613.9 million earnings by 2028.

Uncover how Shift4 Payments' forecasts yield a $95.90 fair value, a 44% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

FOUR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
FOUR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Five Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Shift4 span roughly US$48 to US$106, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, the company’s growing debt load and integration risk around its global expansion give you a concrete set of issues to test your own expectations about future performance and to compare with these varied community perspectives.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Shift4 Payments - why the stock might be worth 28% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Shift4 Payments Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

Ready For A Different Approach?

The market won't wait. These fast-moving stocks are hot now. Grab the list before they run:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSE:FOUR

Shift4 Payments

Engages in the provision of software and payment processing solutions in the United States and internationally.

High growth potential with proven track record.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4034.1% undervalued
22 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6089.9% undervalued
22 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8149.0% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
ST
stuart_roberts
UNCY logo
stuart_roberts on Unicycive Therapeutics ·

Unicycive Therapeutics (Nasdaq: UNCY) – Preparing for a Second Shot at Bringing a New Kidney Treatment to Market (TEST)

Fair Value:US$21.5370.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
KI
RKLB logo
KiwiInvest on Rocket Lab ·

Rocket Lab USA Will Ignite a 30% Revenue Growth Journey

Fair Value:US$97.8335.1% undervalued
136 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.7% undervalued
963 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8688.0% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative