Stock Analysis

Will Affirm’s Pacsun Holiday BNPL Push Reveal the Durability of Its Retail Strategy (AFRM)?

  • Affirm recently announced a partnership with fashion retailer Pacsun, allowing shoppers to use its buy-now-pay-later plans and access a 10% “AFFIRM” promo on Holiday Gift Guide purchases through December 18, 2025.
  • This collaboration adds another recognizable retail brand to Affirm’s nearly 420,000-merchant network, underscoring how installment payments are becoming embedded in mainstream seasonal shopping.
  • We’ll now look at how this Pacsun tie-up, especially its holiday-focused BNPL offer, could influence Affirm’s broader investment narrative.

AI is about to change healthcare. These 30 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10b in market cap - there's still time to get in early.

Advertisement

Affirm Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

To own Affirm, you need to believe its BNPL platform can keep adding merchants and users faster than credit risk and competition catch up. The Pacsun partnership fits that thesis but is unlikely to meaningfully affect near term results or change the key swing factors, which remain the holiday impact from losing a major enterprise partner and the profitability of its growing mix of 0% APR products.

Among recent announcements, the expanded Worldpay for Platforms integration is most connected to the Pacsun news, because both deepen Affirm’s presence at checkout in third party retail ecosystems. Together, these relationships speak directly to the core catalyst for the stock: broadening acceptance across online and offline merchants as BNPL becomes a standard payment option rather than a niche add on.

But while these partnerships can help offset some merchant concentration, investors also need to be aware that...

Read the full narrative on Affirm Holdings (it's free!)

Affirm Holdings’ narrative projects $6.0 billion revenue and $756.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 22.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $704 million earnings increase from $52.2 million today.

Uncover how Affirm Holdings' forecasts yield a $92.83 fair value, a 33% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

AFRM Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
AFRM Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

Nineteen members of the Simply Wall St Community value Affirm between US$25.09 and US$140 per share, reflecting very different views on its future. Against that backdrop, the reliance on a widening merchant base as a key growth driver, highlighted by the Pacsun and Worldpay deals, becomes a central question for how Affirm’s performance evolves from here.

Explore 19 other fair value estimates on Affirm Holdings - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Build Your Own Affirm Holdings Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

Want Some Alternatives?

The market won't wait. These fast-moving stocks are hot now. Grab the list before they run:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NasdaqGS:AFRM

Affirm Holdings

Operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential with low risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.4% undervalued
41 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$123.8% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$244.5% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

SC
TXT logo
scm on Text ·

TXT will see revenue grow 26% with a profit margin boost of almost 40%

Fair Value:zł8049.8% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
VL
GGO logo
Vladislav on Galleon Gold ·

Significantly undervalued gold explorer in Timmins, finally getting traction

Fair Value:CA$482.9% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FU
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6411.8% overvalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
116 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3928.3% undervalued
955 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3406.0% undervalued
147 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative