Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFRM)

NasdaqGS:AFRM
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Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AFRM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.5x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.6x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Affirm Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AFRM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 3rd 2024

What Does Affirm Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Affirm Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Affirm Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Affirm Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 29% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 186% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.4% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Affirm Holdings' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Affirm Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Affirm Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.