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- NYSE:YUMC
Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Yum China Holdings:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.09 = US$884m ÷ (US$12b - US$2.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Yum China Holdings has an ROCE of 9.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 9.1%, it's still a low return by itself.
See our latest analysis for Yum China Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Yum China Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Yum China Holdings here for free.
SWOT Analysis for Yum China Holdings
- Currently debt free.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Hospitality market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
- Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
- Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Yum China Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 9.0% from 20% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Yum China Holdings is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 61% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Yum China Holdings that we think you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:YUMC
Yum China Holdings
Owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.