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Yum China Holdings NYSE:YUMC Stock Report

Last Price

US$44.65

Market Cap

US$16.9b

7D

3.5%

1Y

29.6%

Updated

20 Jan, 2025

Data

Company Financials +

Yum China Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:YUMC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$16.9b

YUMC Stock Overview

Owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China. More details

YUMC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 11.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 8.78% per year

Earnings grew by 14% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29.5%

Risk Analysis

Unstable dividend track record


My Notes

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WA
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts

Operational Efficiencies And KCOFFEE Expansion Aim To Improve Future Market Reach

Key Takeaways Optimizing processes to improve margins and fund growth, Yum China's operational efficiencies and innovation initiatives aim to enhance revenue. Strategic expansion in delivery, stores, and shareholder returns targets market growth, profitability, and increased stock value.
View narrative
US$57.89
FV
22.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
10.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
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7users have followed this narrative
12 days ago author updated this narrative

Yum China Holdings, Inc. Competitors

Domino's Pizza

NasdaqGS:DPZ

US$14.8b

Darden Restaurants

NYSE:DRI

US$21.3b

Texas Roadhouse

NasdaqGS:TXRH

US$11.9b

Restaurant Brands International

NYSE:QSR

US$27.3b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Yum China Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$44.65
52 Week HighUS$52.00
52 Week LowUS$28.50
Beta0.34
1 Month Change-8.09%
3 Month Change2.36%
1 Year Change29.61%
3 Year Change-2.87%
5 Year Change6.51%
Change since IPO74.07%

Recent News & Updates

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Jan 07
It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Yum! Brands: Taco Bell Eyes Dutch Bros' Success

Jan 03

Calculating The Fair Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Dec 24
Calculating The Fair Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Yum China Holdings: Potential For Sales Growth To Accelerate

Dec 22

Recent updates

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Jan 07
It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Yum! Brands: Taco Bell Eyes Dutch Bros' Success

Jan 03

Calculating The Fair Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Dec 24
Calculating The Fair Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Yum China Holdings: Potential For Sales Growth To Accelerate

Dec 22

Does Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Nov 27
Does Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC)

Oct 29
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC)

Yum China's Expansion Continues In Slower Economy

Oct 25

The Market Lifts Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Shares 31% But It Can Do More

Sep 27
The Market Lifts Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Shares 31% But It Can Do More

Is Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Sep 03
Is Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Yum China Holdings: Solid Execution Deserves A Buy Rating

Aug 17

Some Investors May Be Worried About Yum China Holdings' (NYSE:YUMC) Returns On Capital

Jul 30
Some Investors May Be Worried About Yum China Holdings' (NYSE:YUMC) Returns On Capital

Yum China: Widening Its Economic Moat And Seizing Growth Opportunities In An Evolving Market

Jul 10

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:YUMC) Share Price

Jun 18
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:YUMC) Share Price

Does Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jun 05
Does Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Yum China Holdings Q1: Strategy To Drive SSSG And Store Opening Is Sound

May 14

Yum China Holdings, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

May 03
Yum China Holdings, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Here's What's Concerning About Yum China Holdings' (NYSE:YUMC) Returns On Capital

Apr 29
Here's What's Concerning About Yum China Holdings' (NYSE:YUMC) Returns On Capital

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Apr 16
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Yum China: Low Margin Of Safety, Wait For A Better Entry Point

Apr 09

Is Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Using Too Much Debt?

Feb 24
Is Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Using Too Much Debt?

Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 10
Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Annual Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Feb 09
Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Annual Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Yum China Expands To Lower-Tier Cities To Drive Growth Amid Growing Consumer Caution

Feb 07

KFC Plucks Up Major Milestone With 10,000th China Store Opening

Dec 19

Yum China 'Rediscovers' Its Fast-Food Roots In Budget-Conscious Times

Nov 03

Yum China Plans Post-Pandemic Binge With Major Expansion

Sep 18

Yum China: Appealing Growth Prospects And Reasonably Priced

Sep 07

Yum China Holdings: Reiterate Long As SSS Continues To Show Strength

Aug 10

Yum China Serves Up Record Quarterly Results Amid Covid Recovery

Aug 02

Pizza Hut Delivers Growing Slice Of Yum China's Pie

Jun 20

Yum China: Recovery On Track With Strong Margin Performance

May 27

Shareholder Returns

YUMCUS HospitalityUS Market
7D3.5%2.9%3.2%
1Y29.6%23.4%24.2%

Return vs Industry: YUMC exceeded the US Hospitality industry which returned 23.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: YUMC exceeded the US Market which returned 24.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is YUMC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
YUMC volatility
YUMC Average Weekly Movement4.9%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement5.7%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market18.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: YUMC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: YUMC's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1987400,000Joey Watwww.yumchina.com

Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China. The company operates through KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other segments. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang concepts.

Yum China Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Yum China Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
YUMC fundamental statistics
Market capUS$16.86b
Earnings (TTM)US$893.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$11.20b

18.9x

P/E Ratio

1.5x

P/S Ratio

Is YUMC overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
YUMC income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$11.20b
Cost of RevenueUS$8.98b
Gross ProfitUS$2.22b
Other ExpensesUS$1.33b
EarningsUS$893.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

Feb 06, 2025

Earnings per share (EPS)2.37
Gross Margin19.86%
Net Profit Margin7.97%
Debt/Equity Ratio4.7%

How did YUMC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.4%

Current Dividend Yield

27%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 08:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is covered by 62 analysts. 36 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hong Xing PanABCI Securities Company Limited
Edward LewisAtlantic Equities LLP
Jiangqiao TongBOCI Research Ltd.