Yum China Holdings (YUMC) Stock Overview
Owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
YUMC Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Yum China Holdings, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$40.85 |
| 52 Week High | US$58.39 |
| 52 Week Low | US$40.15 |
| Beta | 0.086 |
| 1 Month Change | -3.72% |
| 3 Month Change | -16.26% |
| 1 Year Change | -8.63% |
| 3 Year Change | -28.92% |
| 5 Year Change | -38.38% |
| Change since IPO | 59.26% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
YUMC: Brand Ownership And Store Expansion Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Yum China Holdings slightly higher to about $61.22, citing supportive views on the Pizza Hut brand acquisition in Mainland China as a positive earnings contributor within a still measured valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Analysts covering Yum China Holdings are weighing the Pizza Hut brand acquisition in Mainland China against broader execution and valuation questions, giving investors a mix of optimistic and cautious signals to consider.Seeking Alpha • Jun 16
YUM! Brands: Goodbye, Pizza Hut, Good Riddance
Summary Yum! Brands, Inc. will divest Pizza Hut for $2.7B, closing Q3 2026, streamlining its portfolio. Pizza Hut's persistent underperformance and declining same-store sales prompted the strategic exit, enabling YUM to focus on higher-growth segments. Taco Bell and KFC drive YUM's growth, with Taco Bell posting 8% SSS growth and KFC expanding revenues and margins. I await clarity on YUM's post-divestiture capital allocation before considering a position in the leaner company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 08
YUMC: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have made a slight trim to their fair value estimate for Yum China Holdings, reducing the implied price target by about $0.52 to reflect modestly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, following recent research that includes both a target cut and the stock being added to an APAC conviction list. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Yum China Holdings reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with one firm trimming its price target and another adding the stock to a regional conviction list.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
YUMC: Brand Ownership And Store Expansion Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Yum China Holdings slightly higher to about $61.22, citing supportive views on the Pizza Hut brand acquisition in Mainland China as a positive earnings contributor within a still measured valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Analysts covering Yum China Holdings are weighing the Pizza Hut brand acquisition in Mainland China against broader execution and valuation questions, giving investors a mix of optimistic and cautious signals to consider.Seeking Alpha • Jun 16
YUM! Brands: Goodbye, Pizza Hut, Good Riddance
Summary Yum! Brands, Inc. will divest Pizza Hut for $2.7B, closing Q3 2026, streamlining its portfolio. Pizza Hut's persistent underperformance and declining same-store sales prompted the strategic exit, enabling YUM to focus on higher-growth segments. Taco Bell and KFC drive YUM's growth, with Taco Bell posting 8% SSS growth and KFC expanding revenues and margins. I await clarity on YUM's post-divestiture capital allocation before considering a position in the leaner company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 08
YUMC: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have made a slight trim to their fair value estimate for Yum China Holdings, reducing the implied price target by about $0.52 to reflect modestly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, following recent research that includes both a target cut and the stock being added to an APAC conviction list. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Yum China Holdings reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with one firm trimming its price target and another adding the stock to a regional conviction list.Narrative Update • May 25
YUMC: Buybacks And Executed Store Base Will Support Future Re Rating
The analyst price target for Yum China Holdings has been adjusted slightly lower by about $1, with analysts pointing to updated fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts adding Yum China Holdings to a conviction list see the updated fair value work as still supportive of upside potential even with a slightly lower target price.Narrative Update • Apr 22
YUMC: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Yum China higher by roughly $0.19, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent mixed target moves and heightened conviction from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yum China shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets both raised and trimmed and the stock added to a key regional conviction list.Narrative Update • Apr 08
YUMC: Share Buybacks And Store Expansion Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Yum China by a small amount to around $62, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and only modest adjustments to long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations, even as recent research includes both target increases and decreases and a fresh addition to a major conviction list. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yum China reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms fine tuning their targets and ratings around execution, growth potential, and valuation.Narrative Update • Mar 24
YUMC: Rising Cash Returns And Expansion Progress Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Yum China Holdings slightly to $62.43 from $62.02, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue, profit margin and expected future P/E that align with recent price target increases and rating upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Yum China highlight a mix of optimism around execution and growth potential, alongside caution on valuation risk and operational delivery.Narrative Update • Mar 08
YUMC: Rising Cash Returns And Store Expansion Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have lifted their blended price target on Yum China by about $6, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates and future P/E multiples, and supported by recent target hikes and an upgraded rating from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent price target increases as support for a higher implied valuation range, with the combined US$4.89 and US$1 raises suggesting more confidence in Yum China Holdings' earnings power and P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 22
YUMC: Rising Cash Returns And Store Expansion Will Shape Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Yum China higher by a few dollars to reflect modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, supported by recent positive research, price target lifts of $1 and $4.89, and an upgrade to a more favorable rating. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are signaling a slightly more constructive stance on Yum China, reflected in modest price target increases of $1 and $4.89 and a move to a more favorable rating from one research house.Analysis Article • Feb 10
Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.29
Yum China Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:YUMC ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...Narrative Update • Feb 07
YUMC: Shareholder Returns And Modest Outlook Reset Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have lifted their price target on Yum China by about US$4, citing refreshed estimates for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which together underpin a slightly higher long term valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yum China points to a modest reset higher in fair value assumptions, with several firms revisiting their models and lifting price targets by roughly US$1 to just under US$5.Narrative Update • Nov 22
YUMC: Aggressive Share Buybacks Will Drive Future Shareholder Value
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Yum China Holdings from $57.99 to $57.94, citing adjustments to growth and risk assumptions in their updated models. What's in the News Yum China Holdings, Inc.Narrative Update • Nov 05
YUMC: Share Buybacks And Improving Margins Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Yum China Holdings from $58.48 to $57.99. They cite adjustments in projected profit margins, discount rates, and forward price-earnings ratios as reasons for the change.Analysis Article • Aug 08
Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Last week saw the newest half-yearly earnings release from Yum China Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:YUMC ), an important...Analysis Article • Jul 31
Estimating The Fair Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Yum China Holdings fair value estimate is US$46.60 Current...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Feb 10
Yum! Brands: Taco Bell Keeps Winning, While KFC Simmering - Very Slowly
Summary Taco Bell's strong performance in FY 2024, driven by same-store sales and innovation, contrasts with KFC's struggles in the U.S. but gains internationally. Pizza Hut remains the underdog in the 'Battle of Pizzas,' with weak same-store sales and top-line growth, but easier comparisons ahead. Valuation models suggest Yum! Brands is fairly valued; without significant improvement in KFC's U.S. performance, the stock is unlikely to soar. Reiterate 'Hold' rating with a raised price target of $135, emphasizing Taco Bell's heavy lifting and the need for KFC's U.S. turnaround. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Yum! Brands: Taco Bell Eyes Dutch Bros' Success
Summary Taco Bell's success with innovative menu items and value promotions contrasts with KFC and Pizza Hut's struggles amid fast-food inflation and international challenges. Yum! Brands' EBIT growth forecast lowered due to headwinds, despite Taco Bell's strong performance and new beverage spin-off, Live Más Café. KFC faces significant same-store sales declines and closures, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, impacting overall company performance. Valuation seems stretched, even more so when compared to other fast-food chains with the same geographic distribution. Valuation seems stretched, even more so when compared to other fast-food chains with the same geographic distribution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 22
Yum China Holdings: Potential For Sales Growth To Accelerate
Summary I reiterate my buy rating for YUMC due to robust growth prospects and solid management execution. YUMC benefits from China's high savings rate and government stimulus, driving potential consumer spending recovery. Aggressive store expansion, particularly with the KFC mini model, positions YUMC well for growth in lower-tier cities. Strategic initiatives like K Coffee and PH Wow are contributing to significant sales growth and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 25
Yum China's Expansion Continues In Slower Economy
Summary Yum China Holdings, Inc. has rapidly expanded, especially its company-operated KFC and Pizza Hut chains, with good space for continued growth. The Q3 report will likely have weak same-restaurant restaurants, as China's economy has been weak over the short term. The government's potential stimulus measures won't yet affect the economy positively. YUMC stock is valued with fair growth expectations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 17
Yum China Holdings: Solid Execution Deserves A Buy Rating
Summary YUM China Holdings continues to demonstrate solid execution and outperform peers in a challenging macro environment. I am positive about YUMC's strategy of value for money, new store openings, and growth initiatives. YUMC should see a rerating of valuation multiples eventually. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| YUMC | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.6% | 1.6% | -2.5% |
| 1Y | -8.6% | -4.9% | 19.0% |
Return vs Industry: YUMC underperformed the US Hospitality industry which returned -4.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: YUMC underperformed the US Market which returned 19% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| YUMC volatility | |
|---|---|
| YUMC Average Weekly Movement | 3.1% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: YUMC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: YUMC's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1987 | 210,000 | Joey Wat | www.yumchina.com |
Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China. The company operates through two KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other segments. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang concepts.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| YUMC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$14.12b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$946.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$12.09b |
14.9x
P/E Ratio1.2x
P/S RatioIs YUMC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| YUMC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$12.09b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$9.62b |
| Gross Profit | US$2.47b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.52b |
| Earnings | US$946.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.74 |
| Gross Margin | 20.42% |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.83% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0.3% |
How did YUMC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
2.8%
Current Dividend Yield39%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/29 05:16 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Yum China Holdings, Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ali Dibadj | Bernstein |
| Chen Luo | BofA Global Research |
| Yunqiao Du | CCB International Securities Limited |