Stock Analysis

Yum China Holdings' (NYSE:YUMC) Returns Have Hit A Wall

NYSE:YUMC
Source: Shutterstock

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. That's why when we briefly looked at Yum China Holdings' (NYSE:YUMC) ROCE trend, we were pretty happy with what we saw.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Yum China Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.12 = US$1.1b ÷ (US$12b - US$2.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

Thus, Yum China Holdings has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Hospitality industry average of 9.4% it's much better.

View our latest analysis for Yum China Holdings

roce
NYSE:YUMC Return on Capital Employed February 4th 2025

In the above chart we have measured Yum China Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Yum China Holdings .

What Does the ROCE Trend For Yum China Holdings Tell Us?

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. The company has employed 82% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 12%. 12% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Yum China Holdings has consistently earned this amount. Over long periods of time, returns like these might not be too exciting, but with consistency they can pay off in terms of share price returns.

The Key Takeaway

The main thing to remember is that Yum China Holdings has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. In light of this, the stock has only gained 11% over the last five years for shareholders who have owned the stock in this period. That's why it could be worth your time looking into this stock further to discover if it has more traits of a multi-bagger.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Yum China Holdings you'll probably want to know about.

While Yum China Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:YUMC

Yum China Holdings

Owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

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