Stock Analysis

Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

NYSE:YUMC
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Yum China Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.068 = US$661m ÷ (US$12b - US$2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Yum China Holdings has an ROCE of 6.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 11%.

View our latest analysis for Yum China Holdings

roce
NYSE:YUMC Return on Capital Employed February 25th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Yum China Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Yum China Holdings.

The Trend Of ROCE

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Yum China Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 6.8% from 23% five years ago. However it looks like Yum China Holdings might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

The Bottom Line On Yum China Holdings' ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Yum China Holdings' reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 44% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Yum China Holdings, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While Yum China Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.