Stock Analysis

Is Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:YUMC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Yum China Holdings

How Much Debt Does Yum China Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Yum China Holdings had debt of US$168.0m, up from none in one year. However, it does have US$2.60b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$2.43b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:YUMC Debt to Equity History February 24th 2024

A Look At Yum China Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Yum China Holdings had liabilities of US$2.42b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.49b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$2.60b in cash and US$68.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.24b.

Since publicly traded Yum China Holdings shares are worth a very impressive total of US$16.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Yum China Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Yum China Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 74%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yum China Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Yum China Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Yum China Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While Yum China Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$2.43b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 74% over the last year. So is Yum China Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. We'd be very excited to see if Yum China Holdings insiders have been snapping up shares. If you are too, then click on this link right now to take a (free) peek at our list of reported insider transactions.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Yum China Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.