Stock Analysis

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Planet Fitness' (NYSE:PLNT) Earnings

NYSE:PLNT
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Planet Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:PLNT) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.

See our latest analysis for Planet Fitness

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:PLNT Earnings and Revenue History November 12th 2021

Zooming In On Planet Fitness' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to September 2021, Planet Fitness had an accrual ratio of -0.15. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$135m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$45.7m. Given that Planet Fitness had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of US$135m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Planet Fitness' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Planet Fitness has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Planet Fitness' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Planet Fitness at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Planet Fitness.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Planet Fitness' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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