Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (NYSE:LUCK), which a week ago released some disappointing quarterly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with US$340m revenue coming in 5.1% lower than what the analystsexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.07 missed the mark badly, arriving some 70% below what was expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Following the latest results, Lucky Strike Entertainment's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$1.28b in 2026. This would be a solid 8.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Lucky Strike Entertainment is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.18 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.32b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.26 in 2026. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a large cut to earnings per share estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Lucky Strike Entertainment

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 7.0% to US$13.95. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Lucky Strike Entertainment, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$18.00 and the most bearish at US$10.00 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Lucky Strike Entertainment's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 6.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 22% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.7% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Lucky Strike Entertainment.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Lucky Strike Entertainment analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Lucky Strike Entertainment (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.