For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.
So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE:HLT). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Hilton Worldwide Holdings with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings' Earnings Per Share Are Growing
If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. It certainly is nice to see that Hilton Worldwide Holdings has managed to grow EPS by 36% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. It's noted that Hilton Worldwide Holdings' revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. EBIT margins for Hilton Worldwide Holdings remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 5.2% to US$4.8b. That's a real positive.
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
View our latest analysis for Hilton Worldwide Holdings
Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Hilton Worldwide Holdings.
Are Hilton Worldwide Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.
One shining light for Hilton Worldwide Holdings is the serious outlay one insider has made to buy shares, in the last year. In other words, the company insider, Judith McHale, acquired US$1.0m worth of shares over the previous 12 months at an average price of around US$211. Big insider buys like that are a rarity and should prompt discussion on the merits of the business.
On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that Hilton Worldwide Holdings insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$1.2b. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.
Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Worth Keeping An Eye On?
If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Hilton Worldwide Holdings' strong EPS growth. Better still, insiders own a large chunk of the company and one has even been buying more shares. Astute investors will want to keep this stock on watch. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hilton Worldwide Holdings (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
The good news is that Hilton Worldwide Holdings is not the only stock with insider buying. Here's a list of small cap, undervalued companies in the US with insider buying in the last three months!
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hilton Worldwide Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.