Stock Analysis

Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE:HLT) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

NYSE:HLT
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Hilton Worldwide Holdings' (NYSE:HLT) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Hilton Worldwide Holdings, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = US$2.2b ÷ (US$15b - US$3.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Hilton Worldwide Holdings has an ROCE of 19%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Hospitality industry average of 8.8% it's much better.

View our latest analysis for Hilton Worldwide Holdings

roce
NYSE:HLT Return on Capital Employed June 5th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Hilton Worldwide Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Hilton Worldwide Holdings

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Hospitality market.
Opportunity
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow faster than the American market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Total liabilities exceed total assets, which raises the risk of financial distress.
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

Hilton Worldwide Holdings is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 89% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. Basically the business is generating higher returns from the same amount of capital and that is proof that there are improvements in the company's efficiencies. On that front, things are looking good so it's worth exploring what management has said about growth plans going forward.

The Bottom Line

To sum it up, Hilton Worldwide Holdings is collecting higher returns from the same amount of capital, and that's impressive. And investors seem to expect more of this going forward, since the stock has rewarded shareholders with a 73% return over the last five years. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.

On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Hilton Worldwide Holdings that we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hilton Worldwide Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.