A Look at Hilton Grand Vacations’s Valuation Following Strong Contract Sales and Upbeat 2025 Outlook

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) delivered double-digit contract sales growth in both the first and second quarters of 2025, supported by effective cross-selling, recent acquisitions, and the launch of new resorts.

See our latest analysis for Hilton Grand Vacations.

Hilton Grand Vacations has seen its share price rebound this year, up 18% year-to-date, and long-term shareholders have enjoyed a 119.8% total shareholder return over the past five years. Recent buyback expansion and upbeat earnings guidance are fueling further optimism, indicating that momentum may be building after a rough patch earlier this year.

If the combination of strong sales and new developments has you rethinking your portfolio, now is a great moment to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With shares rebounding and upbeat guidance on the table, investors now face a key question: Is Hilton Grand Vacations undervalued and due for further gains, or is the market already pricing in the company’s growth story?

Most Popular Narrative: 15.3% Undervalued

With the narrative’s fair value set at $53.44, Hilton Grand Vacations’ current price of $45.27 falls well below this widely-tracked estimate, pointing to an underappreciated outlook among analysts right now.

Ongoing strength in HGV Max and integration of Bluegreen and Diamond Resorts are driving sustained contract sales momentum, enhanced customer loyalty, and a rapidly growing, highly engaged membership base. Together with the rollout of additional premium features, this supports higher revenue growth and margin improvement.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what’s fueling this optimism? The market’s missing piece is a big earnings leap, powered by a margin transformation and a bold growth forecast. What happens to the valuation if those projections play out? One click, and you’ll see the game-changing numbers behind the narrative’s price target.

Result: Fair Value of $53.44 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent customer loan defaults or lackluster new owner growth could quickly challenge this bullish outlook and put pressure on Hilton Grand Vacations’ returns.

Find out about the key risks to this Hilton Grand Vacations narrative.

Build Your Own Hilton Grand Vacations Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers on your own terms, it only takes a few minutes to craft your own perspective. So why not Do it your way?

A great starting point for your Hilton Grand Vacations research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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