Market Participants Recognise Genius Sports Limited's (NYSE:GENI) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Higher
Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 67% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Genius Sports as a stock not worth researching with its 5.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Genius Sports
How Genius Sports Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Genius Sports as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Genius Sports' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Genius Sports?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Genius Sports would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 80% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Genius Sports is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Genius Sports' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Genius Sports' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Genius Sports with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.