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Is It Time To Consider Buying Choice Hotels International, Inc. (NYSE:CHH)?
While Choice Hotels International, Inc. (NYSE:CHH) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Choice Hotels International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for Choice Hotels International
Is Choice Hotels International Still Cheap?
According to our valuation model, Choice Hotels International seems to be fairly priced at around 2.39% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Choice Hotels International today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $137.55, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Choice Hotels International’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of Choice Hotels International look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Choice Hotels International's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 46%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? CHH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CHH, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that Choice Hotels International is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CHH
Choice Hotels International
Operates as a hotel franchisor in the United States and internationally.
Moderate growth potential second-rate dividend payer.