Stock Analysis

Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) Stocks Shoot Up 31% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

NYSE:BROS
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Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 26% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Dutch Bros is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have P/S ratios below 1.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Dutch Bros

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:BROS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 5th 2024

What Does Dutch Bros' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent revenue growth for Dutch Bros has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Dutch Bros.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dutch Bros would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 198% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Dutch Bros is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in Dutch Bros' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Dutch Bros maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Hospitality industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Dutch Bros that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.