Dutch Bros Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Dutch Bros is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.9% and 17.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 23.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.3% in 3 years.
Key information
23.9%
Earnings growth rate
23.46%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 17.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.5% |
| Future return on equity | 19.27% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 01 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Dutch Bros Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Aug 09
Earnings Beat: Dutch Bros Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
May 09Recent updates
BROS: National Store Additions And Index Inclusion Will Support Premium P E Multiples
Analysts have trimmed their Dutch Bros fair value estimate slightly, with the updated price target easing by about $0.40 to $75.71. They factor in a marginally higher discount rate and a slightly lower assumed future P/E, while still citing supportive research that highlights what they view as overblown competitive concerns and generally constructive views from recent initiations and upgrades.Dutch Bros: De-Risking Ahead Of Earnings As Competition Heats Up (Downgrade)
Apr 15BROS: National Unit Expansion And New Index Inclusions Will Support Premium P E Multiples
The analyst price target for Dutch Bros has been trimmed slightly, with a modest reduction in fair value and a higher assumed P/E of about 61x. Analysts are factoring in a slightly higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth and margin assumptions, while still highlighting support from recent positive research coverage and limited competitive threat from new beverage launches.BROS: Unit Expansion And 2026 Store Rollout Will Support Premium P E Multiples
Analysts have trimmed the Dutch Bros fair value estimate slightly, alongside a reduction in the blended Street price target to around the high $60s to low $70s. This reflects modest adjustments to discount rate and growth assumptions, even as many recent notes still point to healthy unit expansion and brand strength.BROS: Unit Expansion And Food Program Rollout Will Support Premium Future P E Multiples
The updated analyst price target for Dutch Bros edges higher to $77.30 from $77.10, reflecting research that highlights its coffee and energy drink mix, younger customer appeal, unit-level economics, and store growth potential as key supports for the long term P/E framework of about 58.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dutch Bros clusters around growth, brand strength, and execution, with price targets generally framed against a relatively high P/E multiple.BROS: Unit Expansion And Food Program Rollout Will Support Rich Future Multiples
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Dutch Bros higher by a few dollars to around the mid $80s, reflecting recent research that highlights a strong finish to the year and fresh bullish coverage, even as some firms trim targets at the margin. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dutch Bros reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several price targets adjusted around the current mid $80s range and fresh initiation from new coverage.BROS: Unit Expansion And Clutch Coffee Integration Will Support Rich Future Multiples
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Dutch Bros price target to roughly US$77, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins, discount rate and future P/E. These updates incorporate recent research, including Citi's bullish initiation, Barclays' higher US$76 target and Morgan Stanley's trimmed outlook for the stock.BROS: Unit Expansion And Clutch Coffee Acquisition Will Support Premium Multiples
Analysts have nudged their Dutch Bros fair value target slightly higher to about $76.84 per share from roughly $76.74, reflecting updated views that factor in firm level price target revisions, ongoing margin pressure, and continued optimism around unit growth and the Clutch Coffee acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dutch Bros highlights a mix of enthusiasm for the growth story and caution around margins and sector sentiment, which together help explain the modest adjustment to fair value targets.BROS: Demand Resilience And Higher Margins Will Support Premium Multiples
Analysts trimmed their Dutch Bros price targets by a few dollars into a rough restaurant tape, but your updated fair value edges up to about US$76.74, as higher assumed profit margins and a lower future P/E partly offset more cautious revenue growth and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research around Dutch Bros has turned more mixed recently, with several firms trimming price targets but maintaining constructive ratings.BROS: Demand Resilience Will Support Premium Multiples Despite Near Term Margin Pressure
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Dutch Bros slightly higher to the mid $80s, reflecting modestly stronger long term growth assumptions and resilient same store sales that offset near term margin pressure and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research on Dutch Bros remains broadly constructive, even as some valuation assumptions are tempered to reflect a choppier operating backdrop and near term margin pressure.BROS: Store Expansion And Demand Resilience Will Offset Margin Pressures Into 2026
Analysts have recently trimmed their price target for Dutch Bros by $1 to $84. This change reflects near-term margin pressures, but also consistent and attractive performance as well as robust demand resilience in the restaurant sector.BROS: Store Expansion Will Sustain Demand Into 2026 Despite Margin Pressures
The average analyst price target for Dutch Bros was lowered slightly from $78.06 to $75.61. Analysts cited ongoing margin pressures and cautious consumer spending, despite the company’s solid revenue and profit performance.BROS: Ongoing Store Expansion Will Sustain Industry-Leading Traffic Momentum Through 2026
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Dutch Bros from $81.59 to $78.06. This change reflects modest concerns around near-term consumer trends, despite continued confidence in the company’s differentiated growth prospects.Sun Belt Expansion And Drive-Thru Focus Will Shape Future Success
The analyst price target for Dutch Bros was revised slightly lower, from $82.63 to $81.59. Analysts weighed robust revenue growth forecasts and strong comparable store sales against a modest dip in profit margin expectations and updated sector views.Sun Belt Expansion And Drive-Thru Focus Will Shape Future Success
Analysts remain bullish on Dutch Bros due to strong store growth, robust comparable sales, and impressive quarterly results, resulting in the consensus analyst price target staying unchanged at $82.62. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Dutch Bros' industry-leading store growth and sustained sales and traffic momentum, with expectations that this momentum is likely to continue through 2026 due to a strong catalyst path.Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Dutch Bros Inc.'s (NYSE:BROS) 27% Share Price Surge
Aug 29Dutch Bros Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Aug 09Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) Shares Could Be 34% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Aug 02Dutch Bros Inc.'s (NYSE:BROS) P/S Is On The Mark
Jul 07Earnings Beat: Dutch Bros Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
May 09Iced Growth, Hot Valuation: Why Dutch Bros Is Still A Hold
Apr 14Dutch Bros: Beware Huge Valuation And Tariff Risks (Rating Downgrade)
Apr 06Dutch Bros: Dripping With Success
Mar 06Dutch Bros Q4 Earnings: A Growth Story With Caveats
Feb 13Dutch Bros: Coffee Is Getting Expensive
Jan 18Dutch Bros: Getting Right Everything Starbucks Is Getting Wrong
Nov 27Dutch Bros: Trends Are Starting To Slip, Take Profits Here (Rating Downgrade)
Nov 20Dutch Bros: Positive Fundamental Change But Still Cautious (Rating Upgrade)
Oct 20Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,066 | 203 | 129 | 515 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,521 | 175 | 83 | 401 | 24 |
| 12/31/2026 | 2,047 | 127 | 42 | 320 | 24 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,638 | 80 | 54 | 296 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,537 | 62 | 65 | 278 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,452 | 57 | 73 | 272 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,361 | 44 | 32 | 242 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,281 | 35 | 25 | 246 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,192 | 30 | -10 | 229 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,119 | 22 | -53 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,044 | 13 | -65 | 178 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 966 | 2 | -89 | 140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 913 | 2 | -109 | 112 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 848 | 0 | -117 | 89 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 784 | -4 | -127 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 739 | -5 | -128 | 60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 677 | -6 | -128 | 51 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 608 | -19 | -127 | 41 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 551 | -18 | -86 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 498 | -13 | -38 | 80 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 448 | -23 | -6 | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 405 | -5 | 28 | 89 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 351 | -3 | 17 | 59 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 327 | N/A | 13 | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 238 | N/A | 17 | 57 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BROS's forecast earnings growth (23.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: BROS's earnings (23.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: BROS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: BROS's revenue (17.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BROS's revenue (17.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: BROS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.3%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/06 21:44 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Dutch Bros Inc. is covered by 32 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |