Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Earnings

NYSE:ARCO
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) as an attractive investment with its 12.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Arcos Dorados Holdings has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Arcos Dorados Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ARCO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Arcos Dorados Holdings.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Arcos Dorados Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Arcos Dorados Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Arcos Dorados Holdings' P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Arcos Dorados Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Arcos Dorados Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Arcos Dorados Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Arcos Dorados Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.