Arcos Dorados Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
Arcos Dorados Holdings's earnings are forecast to decline at 3.2% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 6.9% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 5.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.9% in 3 years.
Key information
-3.2%
Earnings growth rate
-5.27%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 21.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.9% |
| Future return on equity | 19.92% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 13 Nov 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Arcos Dorados: Setting The Focus On Brazil's Recovery
Nov 14Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.06
Oct 15
Arcos Dorados Holdings' (NYSE:ARCO) Dividend Will Be $0.06
Sep 28Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Sep 19Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.06
Aug 14Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.06
Jul 13Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.06
Jun 29Arcos Dorados Holdings' (NYSE:ARCO) Dividend Will Be $0.06
Apr 08Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)
Apr 04Arcos Dorados Provided Little Data On Its Franchise Agreement, The Name Is Not Attractive
Mar 18Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.06
Mar 15Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Feb 26Is Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) A Risky Investment?
Feb 03Arcos Dorados: MFA Renewal, Argentinian Recovery To Drive Earnings (Rating Upgrade)
Jan 03Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Shares Could Be 30% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Dec 11Arcos Dorados Costs Are Delevering, Not A Great Sign, Maintain Hold
Dec 03Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Low P/E
Nov 25Does Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Oct 28Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Sep 28Arcos Dorados: Hold Until New Franchise Agreement With MCD Materializes
Sep 20Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Sep 13
Dorados' Digital Transformation Fuels Growth And Expands Market Leadership In Latin America
Arcos Dorados' strategic move towards digitalization and implementing a loyalty program is expected to enhance customer engagement and sales, improving revenue and earnings.Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price
Aug 31Arcos Dorados Trades At Value Price Despite Growth, The Stock Is A Buy
Aug 07Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.06
Jul 16Arcos Dorados: Wonderful Business, Selling For A Discount (Upgrade)
Jul 06Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jun 03Why Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Could Be Worth Watching
May 21Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.06
May 03Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Earnings
May 01Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.06
Apr 19Estimating The Fair Value Of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)
Apr 12Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.06
Mar 16Arcos Dorados: Expanding With Solid Fundamentals
Feb 26Arcos Dorados: Leading McDonald's Franchisee Is Fairly Valued
Feb 20Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Feb 17These 4 Measures Indicate That Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Jan 30Why Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Could Be Worth Watching
Jan 16Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
Dec 21Arcos Dorados: Digital Growth Drives Earnings Growth
Dec 07Here's Why Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Dec 02The Return Trends At Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Look Promising
Nov 01These 4 Measures Indicate That Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Oct 05Arcos Dorados: A Strong Exposure To LatAm Through McDonald's
Sep 27Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Sep 20Arcos Dorados: Three D's Strategy Keeps Us Bullish
Aug 18With EPS Growth And More, Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Makes An Interesting Case
Aug 08Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Jul 25Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 5,408 | 170 | 125 | 441 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,029 | 142 | 89 | 380 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,720 | 107 | 23 | 481 | 2 |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,556 | 245 | 3 | 271 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,497 | 130 | -22 | 261 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,465 | 134 | -52 | 263 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,470 | 149 | -61 | 267 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,501 | 146 | -62 | 309 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,493 | 171 | -24 | 361 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,422 | 172 | -31 | 343 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,332 | 181 | 22 | 382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,175 | 180 | 21 | 342 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,972 | 167 | 37 | 308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,819 | 153 | 100 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,619 | 140 | 128 | 345 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,381 | 131 | 189 | 355 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,185 | 109 | 209 | 345 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,890 | 100 | 164 | 286 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,660 | 45 | 143 | 258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,487 | 22 | 110 | 205 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,228 | -32 | 48 | 129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,928 | -127 | 16 | 79 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,984 | -149 | -70 | 16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,131 | -139 | -127 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,414 | -85 | -140 | 84 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,846 | 15 | -131 | 139 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,959 | 80 | -42 | 223 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,958 | 56 | -12 | 233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,932 | 58 | N/A | 209 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,963 | 48 | N/A | 234 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,082 | 37 | N/A | 180 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,225 | 97 | N/A | 192 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,343 | 94 | N/A | 206 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,388 | 89 | N/A | 234 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,320 | 129 | N/A | 255 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,230 | 81 | N/A | 252 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,163 | 56 | N/A | 235 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,052 | 103 | N/A | 179 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,929 | 79 | N/A | 164 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,886 | 63 | N/A | 129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,864 | 29 | N/A | 119 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,936 | -7 | N/A | 124 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,053 | -52 | N/A | 113 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,201 | -47 | N/A | 222 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,352 | -11 | N/A | 212 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 3,511 | -117 | N/A | 203 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,651 | -109 | N/A | 193 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.2% per year).
Earnings vs Market: ARCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ARCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ARCO's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ARCO's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ARCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/11/18 06:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/11/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Antonio Hernandez Velez Leija | Barclays |
| Robert Ford Aguilar | BofA Global Research |
| Pedro Pinto | Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários |