Arcos Dorados Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Arcos Dorados Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.5% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.5% in 3 years.
Key information
15.5%
Earnings growth rate
12.6%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 24.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.3% |
| Future return on equity | 22.5% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 30 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Arcos Dorados: MFA Renewal, Argentinian Recovery To Drive Earnings (Rating Upgrade)
Jan 03Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Shares Could Be 30% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Dec 11
Arcos Dorados Costs Are Delevering, Not A Great Sign, Maintain Hold
Dec 03Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Low P/E
Nov 25Does Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Oct 28Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Sep 28Arcos Dorados: Hold Until New Franchise Agreement With MCD Materializes
Sep 20Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Sep 13Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price
Aug 31Arcos Dorados Trades At Value Price Despite Growth, The Stock Is A Buy
Aug 07Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.06
Jul 16Arcos Dorados: Wonderful Business, Selling For A Discount (Upgrade)
Jul 06Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jun 03Why Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Could Be Worth Watching
May 21Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.06
May 03Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Earnings
May 01Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.06
Apr 19Estimating The Fair Value Of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)
Apr 12Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.06
Mar 16Arcos Dorados: Expanding With Solid Fundamentals
Feb 26Arcos Dorados: Leading McDonald's Franchisee Is Fairly Valued
Feb 20Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Feb 17These 4 Measures Indicate That Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Jan 30Why Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Could Be Worth Watching
Jan 16Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:ARCO) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
Dec 21Arcos Dorados: Digital Growth Drives Earnings Growth
Dec 07Here's Why Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Dec 02The Return Trends At Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Look Promising
Nov 01These 4 Measures Indicate That Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Oct 05Arcos Dorados: A Strong Exposure To LatAm Through McDonald's
Sep 27Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Sep 20Arcos Dorados: Three D's Strategy Keeps Us Bullish
Aug 18With EPS Growth And More, Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Makes An Interesting Case
Aug 08Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Jul 25Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)
Jun 13McDonald's Double Play: A Closer Look At Arcos Dorados
Jun 05Is There Now An Opportunity In Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Jun 01Is Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) A Risky Investment?
May 18Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO)
Apr 18Does Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Mar 13Calculating The Fair Value Of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)
Mar 01Here's Why Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Feb 10Arcos Dorados Holdings: Attractive At Current Level
Jan 27Return Trends At Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Aren't Appealing
Jan 10Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Dec 27Does Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Nov 18Arcos Dorados Q3 2022 Earnings Preview
Nov 15These 4 Measures Indicate That Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO) Is Using Debt Extensively
Oct 30Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Arcos Dorados Holdings (NYSE:ARCO)
Sep 22Arcos Dorados Remains Enticing With Sumptuous Expansion And Growth Prospects
Aug 24Arcos Dorados Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
Aug 09Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO)?
Jul 28Investors Could Be Concerned With Arcos Dorados Holdings' (NYSE:ARCO) Returns On Capital
Jun 17Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 5,616 | 226 | 117 | 487 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,194 | 197 | 97 | 427 | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,733 | 163 | 136 | 361 | 8 |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,484 | 127 | 11 | 274 | 6 |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,501 | 146 | -62 | 309 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,493 | 171 | -24 | 361 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,422 | 172 | -31 | 343 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,332 | 181 | 22 | 382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,175 | 180 | 21 | 342 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,972 | 167 | 37 | 308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,819 | 153 | 100 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,619 | 140 | 128 | 345 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,381 | 131 | 189 | 355 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,185 | 109 | 209 | 345 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,890 | 100 | 164 | 286 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,660 | 45 | 143 | 258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,487 | 22 | 110 | 205 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,228 | -32 | 48 | 129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,928 | -127 | 16 | 79 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,984 | -149 | -70 | 16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,131 | -139 | -127 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,414 | -85 | -140 | 84 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,846 | 15 | -131 | 139 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,959 | 80 | -42 | 223 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,958 | 56 | -12 | 233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,932 | 58 | -19 | 209 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,963 | 48 | 24 | 234 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,082 | 37 | -17 | 180 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,225 | 97 | 7 | 192 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,343 | 94 | N/A | 206 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,388 | 89 | N/A | 234 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,320 | 129 | N/A | 255 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,230 | 81 | N/A | 252 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,163 | 56 | N/A | 235 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,052 | 103 | N/A | 179 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,929 | 79 | N/A | 164 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,886 | 63 | N/A | 129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,864 | 29 | N/A | 119 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,936 | -7 | N/A | 124 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,053 | -52 | N/A | 113 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,201 | -47 | N/A | 222 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,352 | -11 | N/A | 212 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 3,511 | -117 | N/A | 203 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,651 | -109 | N/A | 193 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 3,783 | -87 | N/A | 148 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 3,901 | -68 | N/A | 197 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 3,972 | 40 | N/A | 191 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARCO's forecast earnings growth (15.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: ARCO's earnings (15.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ARCO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ARCO's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ARCO's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ARCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.5%)
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/01/30 23:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Natalia Silveira | Allaria Ledesma & Cia Sociedad de Bolsa S.A. |
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
| Antonio Hernandez | Barclays |