Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In ADT Inc.'s (NYSE:ADT) P/S

NYSE:ADT
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.4x in the Consumer Services industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about ADT Inc.'s (NYSE:ADT) P/S ratio of 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for ADT

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ADT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024

What Does ADT's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

ADT could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ADT will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For ADT?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like ADT's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 6.4% drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.7% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that ADT's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does ADT's P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of ADT's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

You need to take note of risks, for example - ADT has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.