Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By TH International Limited's (NASDAQ:THCH) 34% Share Price Surge

NasdaqCM:THCH
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Despite an already strong run, TH International Limited (NASDAQ:THCH) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 48% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider TH International as a stock not worth researching with its 5.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for TH International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:THCH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

How Has TH International Performed Recently?

TH International certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on TH International will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is TH International's Revenue Growth Trending?

TH International's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 57%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why TH International is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in TH International have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of TH International revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for TH International that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TH International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.