Stock Analysis

Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

NasdaqGS:TCOM
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Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 36% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Trip.com Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Trip.com Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TCOM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 24th 2024

How Has Trip.com Group Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Trip.com Group has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Trip.com Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Trip.com Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 122%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 143% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Trip.com Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Trip.com Group's P/S?

Shares in Trip.com Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look into Trip.com Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Trip.com Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Trip.com Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trip.com Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.