Stock Analysis

Carrols Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:TAST) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NasdaqGS:TAST
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TAST) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Carrols Restaurant Group

What Is Carrols Restaurant Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Carrols Restaurant Group had US$472.5m of debt in October 2022, down from US$514.8m, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:TAST Debt to Equity History January 9th 2023

How Strong Is Carrols Restaurant Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Carrols Restaurant Group had liabilities of US$177.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.28b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.24m and US$20.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.43b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$78.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Carrols Restaurant Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Carrols Restaurant Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Carrols Restaurant Group reported revenue of US$1.7b, which is a gain of 2.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Carrols Restaurant Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$38m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through US$29m in the last year. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Carrols Restaurant Group you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.