Stock Analysis

What Is Starbucks Corporation's (NASDAQ:SBUX) Share Price Doing?

NasdaqGS:SBUX
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX). The company's stock saw a significant share price rise of 30% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Starbucks’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Starbucks

What Is Starbucks Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 5.1% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Starbucks today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $99.62, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Furthermore, Starbucks’s low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.

Can we expect growth from Starbucks?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:SBUX Earnings and Revenue Growth September 1st 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Starbucks' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 35%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SBUX’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SBUX, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Starbucks (1 is potentially serious!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.