Starbucks Corporation

NasdaqGS:SBUX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$119.6b

Starbucks Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Starbucks is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.3% and 2.8% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 26.6% per annum.

Key information

26.3%

Earnings growth rate

26.63%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth18.2%
Revenue growth rate2.8%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 09

Starbucks Earnings: Fully Caffeinated?

Summary Current price action reflects fleeting enthusiasm rather than a fundamental shift in SBUX's long-term outlook. Starbucks (SBUX) recovery prospects remain overstated, with optimism rooted more in promises than tangible performance. The recent earnings release briefly boosted SBUX shares from $97 to over $106, but we believe sustained earnings improvement will be dificult to maintain. We continue to be skeptical about SBUX's ability to return to its former growth trajectory despite short-term share price movements. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 01

SBUX: Turnaround Progress And Higher Margins Will Support Repriced Earnings Power

Analysts have raised the Starbucks price target by about $8 to roughly $130. They cite a combination of slightly adjusted growth assumptions, higher expected profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.
New Narrative • Apr 19

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX): The Digital Discovery Jolt and the Pivot to AI-Driven Personalization

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) , the global pioneer of the "third place" experience, enters Sunday, April 19, 2026 , amidst a high-tech transformation of its consumer journey. Trading at $100.00 USD after a sharp 1.67% daily gain on Friday, the stock has clawed back from its December lows to retest its 52-week highs.
Narrative Update • Apr 16

SBUX: Turnaround Execution And 2026 Store Expansion Will Support Repriced Earnings Power

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Starbucks by $2 to $122, reflecting a higher assumed future P/E multiple. This increase is supported by a recent wave of price target raises and upgrades that emphasize progress in the turnaround story, alongside ongoing debates about margins and competition.
Narrative Update • Apr 02

SBUX: Elevated Labor Costs And Weak Margin Visibility Will Pressure Rich P E Multiple

The updated analyst price target on Starbucks reflects a small fair value adjustment to $77.51 as analysts weigh slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions against a higher future P/E and mixed research views that highlight balanced risk and reward at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Starbucks has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts revisiting their ratings and price targets as they reassess the balance between execution risks, growth assumptions, and the valuation implied by current trading multiples.
Narrative Update • Mar 19

SBUX: Balanced Risk Reward As Turnaround Execution And Margins Guide Future Performance

Analysts have adjusted the Starbucks fair value estimate from $95.06 to $99.94, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, higher expected margins, and a similar future P/E, with recent price target shifts and mixed ratings pointing to a more balanced risk and reward profile at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Starbucks, with price targets clustered around the high US$80s to low US$110s and a growing number of neutral or peer perform ratings.
Narrative Update • Mar 04

SBUX: Elevated Margin Assumptions Will Likely Prove Vulnerable To Restaurant Price Wars

Our updated Starbucks fair value estimate has increased to $77.37 from $71.88, reflecting analysts’ assumptions of slightly lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, a modestly lower future P/E multiple, and a small reduction in the discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Starbucks has been active, with multiple firms updating price targets and ratings over the past several weeks.
Narrative Update • Feb 18

SBUX: Coffee Category Positioning And 2026 Outlook Will Support Repriced Earnings Power

Narrative update on Starbucks The analyst price target for Starbucks has been adjusted to $120, with analysts citing a mix of recent target increases across multiple firms and one modest cut, alongside updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins, and a slightly lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Starbucks has been dominated by upward price target revisions, with only one modest cut, which collectively underpins the updated US$120 blended target.
Narrative Update • Feb 04

SBUX: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Repriced Earnings Power

Analysts have raised their Starbucks fair value estimate to $120 from $110, citing a series of higher price targets across the Street that reflect updated views on margins and the appropriate future P/E multiple, even as revenue growth assumptions remain more tempered and the discount rate is slightly higher. Analyst Commentary Street research around Starbucks has been active, with a cluster of price target changes and a few rating shifts that give you a sense of how views on valuation and execution are evolving.
Narrative Update • Jan 21

SBUX: Turnaround Progress And Labor Disputes Will Shape Future Traffic And Margins

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their Starbucks fair value estimate higher to US$95.06 from US$94.13, citing refreshed price targets from firms raising expectations for coffee chains within their 2026 restaurant group outlooks and ongoing confidence in the company’s turnaround efforts despite sector wide sales headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Starbucks reflects a mix of optimism around the turnaround story and caution around sector wide pressures, with several firms fine tuning price targets and earnings assumptions as they update 2026 restaurant group outlooks.
Narrative Update • Jan 06

SBUX: Turnaround Efforts And Labor Uncertainty Will Shape Traffic And Margin Trends

Analysts have inched their Starbucks fair value estimate lower to about US$94, trimming price targets in response to tempered earnings forecasts and slower assumed top line progress, even as they highlight ongoing traffic improvements and early signs that the turnaround efforts are gaining traction. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Starbucks point to a mixed setup, with price targets generally nudged lower but a split view on how quickly the turnaround can translate into cleaner execution and earnings power.
Narrative Update • Dec 21

SBUX: Extended Turnaround Efforts Will Likely Pressure Margins And Share Price

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Starbucks by about $10 per share to roughly $100, citing slower revenue growth and margin pressure in a tougher macro environment, even as traffic trends and turnaround initiatives show early signs of improvement. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have increasingly framed the recent pullback in Starbucks' valuation as a recognition that execution on its turnaround and growth ambitions is likely to take longer than previously expected.
Narrative Update • Dec 07

SBUX: Turnaround And Labor Disputes Will Shape Traffic And Margin Recovery

Analysts have nudged their average Starbucks price target slightly higher by about $0.20 to approximately $94.20. This reflects a view that while revenue growth and profit margins may face near term pressure amid macro headwinds and a slower turnaround, the company’s long term earnings power and valuation multiple remain intact.
Narrative Update • Nov 23

SBUX: Turnaround Plans And Store Closures Will Shape Earnings Recovery Amid Labor Strikes

The analyst consensus price target for Starbucks has been revised downward to $94 from $100, as analysts cite concerns about slower sales momentum and a challenging industry environment despite ongoing turnaround efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on Starbucks reflect a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concerns as the company navigates an uncertain operating landscape.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

SBUX: Store Restructuring And Cost Efforts Will Support Gradual Earnings Recovery

Starbucks’ average analyst price target has edged down from approximately $96.60 to $94.17, as analysts cite persistent macroeconomic challenges, slower expected revenue growth, and sustained margin pressures, even as there are signs of operational improvement. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on Starbucks highlight a mix of optimism about the company's operational progress, alongside heightened caution about macro pressures and execution challenges.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analysts Lower Starbucks Price Target Amid Mixed Outlook and Operational Challenges

Starbucks' analyst price target has been lowered by approximately $1 to $96.60. Analysts cite ongoing challenges in sales trends, profit margins, and execution against strategic initiatives.
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Evolving Coffee Designs And Green Apron Service Will Improve Satisfaction

Analysts have modestly lowered their fair value estimate for Starbucks to approximately $97.63 per share. They cite ongoing U.S. turnaround challenges, increased competition in China, and slightly slower revenue growth expectations as reasons for the adjustment.
Analysis Article • Jul 13

Starbucks Corporation's (NASDAQ:SBUX) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Starbucks: 3 Red Flags We Shouldn't Ignore Before Earnings

Summary Starbucks is facing several difficulties, which make the upcoming earnings very risky. In this article, I discuss the three main red flags I see and why investors should be aware of each of them. All in all, I rate Starbucks as a sell heading into earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 27

Ex-Barista Says: No Way Starbucks Is A Growth Stock

Summary Starbucks carries a growth multiple that depends on much more automation to become a practical earnings grower, making it a better Hold than a Buy. Recent reforms under new CEO Brian Niccol focus on marginal improvements rather than a major operational shift. These include efforts to improve partner retention and simplify the menu, along with ending pricey buybacks. Still, the "third place" depends on customer-to-customer interactions, and automation will reduce wait times and cost to make that possible. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

A 'Grande' Starbucks Special Situation

Summary Starbucks' declining coffeehouse vibe, not pricing or product quality, has led to reduced customer visits and spending, highlighting the need for a strategic shift. CEO Brian Niccol aims to restore the coffeehouse ambiance, streamline operations, and enhance customer experience, which aligns with my observations and expectations. Niccol's track record at Chipotle and his equity-based compensation align his interests with shareholders, suggesting he can successfully execute the turnaround strategy. Despite risks like China competition and CapEx overruns, the potential for a 25% return makes Starbucks a compelling, contrarian investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

It's A Great Time To Short Starbucks

Summary Since taking the helm of Starbucks in early September, CEO Brian Niccol has offered a nebulous "Back to Starbucks" strategy that seems more a marketing slogan than a turnaround strategy. Niccol's reputation comes from his time at Chipotle. But he took over from a management team that had erred in the basics badly repeatedly. Niccol did mostly the obvious. My viewpoint is that investors will be disappointed when Starbucks releases earnings on Tuesday. Not so much by the earnings call, but by Niccol's inability to define a coherent turnaround strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 22

Starbucks' Huge Day

Summary Starbucks faces significant headwinds, including labor inflation, competition, and high input costs, impacting its financial performance and stock price. Former Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol aims to simplify the menu and improve customer experience, targeting a more local coffee shop feel. Fiscal Q4 results showed declining revenues and EPS, with global comparable store sales expected to continue falling in Q1. Here is what we expect for the big day approaching. Consider a covered call selling strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 08

Starbucks: Deep Hole To Climb Out Of, But Niccol's Plans Are In Motion

Summary Starbucks faces significant challenges, including declining brand appeal, and out-of-control geographic expansion, which has led to deteriorating results, culminating in a 3% revenue decline. Brian Niccol's turnaround initiatives include reprioritizing North America and customer satisfaction, while improving the Starbucks experience, and elevating the brand. Starbucks' stock trades at a high valuation, making it less attractive for a turnaround investment at this time. Given the current valuation and early stage of the turnaround, I maintain a 'Hold' rating on Starbucks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative • Jan 05

Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

Coffee Market Tightening Will Pressure Margins In The Short TermCoffee prices have reached a 47-year high owing to extreme weather effects in top-producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam. Both type
Seeking Alpha • Dec 24

Wall Street Lunch: No Starbucks For You?

Summary Starbucks faces a historic strike on Christmas Eve, with over 5,000 workers at 300 stores expected to walk out, impacting stock performance. The Santa Claus Rally and other market indicators suggest a strong market outlook for 2025, barring systemic economic or political issues. Netflix's NFL broadcast debut on Christmas Day is a critical test for its live streaming capabilities, following past technical issues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 03

Starbucks' Predicament: Chinese Rivals Poised To Shake Up U.S. Market (Strong Sell)

Summary Chinese rivals offering cheap coffee, Luckin and Cotti Coffee, are exploring opportunities in the US market directly competing against Starbucks for market share. Luckin and Cotti Coffee will replicate their long-term price war strategy from China to the US pressuring Starbucks' customer traffic & margins. Starbucks appears overvalued (32x fwd P/E) as high hope has been built for a business turnaround in both the US and China upon new CEO appointment. Consensus earnings estimates also seem overly optimistic without considering the risk of a price war. I rated Starbucks as a Strong Sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 25

Starbucks' China Deadlock Resolves In 2 Possible Ways

Summary Starbucks' new CEO, Brian Niccol, is making swift changes but faces challenges in revitalizing the stagnant Chinese market amid intense local competition. A potential joint venture in China could help Starbucks leverage local resources, expand its footprint, and return to growth in the region. Despite promising developments, Starbucks' current valuation at 32x forward PE suggests that the market has already priced in these expectations. Given the uncertainties and current valuation, I maintain a Hold rating on Starbucks, pending concrete developments in its Chinese market strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:SBUX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202840,8014,0634,1017,28822
9/30/202738,4863,3953,8696,07231
9/30/202637,6912,3142,7514,91731
3/29/202638,4721,4962,7264,346N/A
12/28/202537,7021,3692,3374,273N/A
9/28/202537,1841,8562,4424,748N/A
6/29/202536,6892,6322,2544,901N/A
3/30/202536,3473,1292,7655,570N/A
12/29/202436,1493,5172,9095,784N/A
9/29/202436,1763,7613,3186,096N/A
6/30/202436,4764,0713,8266,505N/A
3/31/202436,5304,1583,9516,538N/A
12/31/202336,6874,2944,3876,799N/A
10/1/202335,9764,1253,6756,009N/A
7/2/202335,0163,7842,9835,163N/A
4/2/202333,9983,5552,7544,725N/A
1/1/202332,9143,3212,1784,120N/A
10/2/202232,2503,2822,5564,397N/A
7/3/202231,9834,1683,0394,818N/A
4/3/202231,3294,4083,6085,302N/A
1/2/202230,3624,3934,4626,024N/A
10/3/202129,0614,1994,5195,989N/A
6/27/202127,1172,8284,6285,959N/A
3/28/202123,8439962,4693,843N/A
12/27/202023,1706651841,597N/A
9/27/202023,5189281141,598N/A
6/28/202024,0621,339-4491,215N/A
3/29/202026,6633,3901,0332,752N/A
12/29/201926,9733,724N/A4,504N/A
9/29/201926,5093,599N/A5,047N/A
6/30/201926,0653,552N/A12,372N/A
3/31/201925,5533,032N/A12,419N/A
12/30/201825,2793,029N/A12,483N/A
9/30/201824,7204,518N/A11,938N/A
7/1/201824,1144,551N/A4,597N/A
4/1/201823,4654,390N/A4,549N/A
12/31/201722,7284,383N/A4,556N/A
10/1/201722,3872,885N/A4,252N/A
7/2/201722,4002,897N/A4,467N/A
4/2/201721,9762,960N/A4,381N/A
1/1/201721,6752,882N/A4,469N/A
10/2/201621,3162,818N/A4,698N/A
6/26/201620,5202,669N/A4,237N/A
3/27/201620,1632,542N/A3,934N/A
12/27/201519,7332,462N/A3,960N/A
9/27/201519,1632,757N/A3,749N/A
6/28/201518,4292,693N/A3,520N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SBUX's forecast earnings growth (26.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: SBUX's earnings (26.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SBUX's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SBUX's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SBUX's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if SBUX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 18:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/29
Annual Earnings2025/09/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Starbucks Corporation is covered by 66 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird