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Is Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (NASDAQ:RRGB) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ:RRGB) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
How Much Debt Does Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Carry?
As you can see below, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers had US$191.0m of debt, at July 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$44.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$146.9m.
How Strong Is Red Robin Gourmet Burgers' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Red Robin Gourmet Burgers had liabilities of US$204.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$591.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$44.0m in cash and US$13.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$738.2m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$141.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Red Robin Gourmet Burgers can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Red Robin Gourmet Burgers wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 3.7%, to US$1.3b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Red Robin Gourmet Burgers produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$12m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$31m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:RRGB
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
Develops, operates, and franchises casual-dining restaurants, in North America and one Canadian province.
Undervalued very low.