Stock Analysis

RAVE Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RAVE) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NasdaqCM:RAVE
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RAVE Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:RAVE) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, RAVE Restaurant Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.2x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, RAVE Restaurant Group has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for RAVE Restaurant Group

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NasdaqCM:RAVE Price Based on Past Earnings July 13th 2022
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on RAVE Restaurant Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For RAVE Restaurant Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as RAVE Restaurant Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 250% gain to the company's bottom line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 46% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that RAVE Restaurant Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On RAVE Restaurant Group's P/E

RAVE Restaurant Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of RAVE Restaurant Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with RAVE Restaurant Group.

If you're unsure about the strength of RAVE Restaurant Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.