Stock Analysis

With Papa John's International, Inc. (NASDAQ:PZZA) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

NasdaqGS:PZZA
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Papa John's International, Inc. (NASDAQ:PZZA) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 26.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been pleasing for Papa John's International as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Papa John's International

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NasdaqGS:PZZA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Papa John's International will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Papa John's International's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Papa John's International's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 30%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 95% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Papa John's International is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Papa John's International maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Papa John's International that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Papa John's International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.