Stock Analysis

Does PENN Entertainment (NASDAQ:PENN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NasdaqGS:PENN
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is PENN Entertainment's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 PENN Entertainment had debt of US$2.79b, up from US$2.36b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.71b, its net debt is less, at about US$1.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PENN Debt to Equity History October 27th 2022

A Look At PENN Entertainment's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that PENN Entertainment had liabilities of US$1.09b due within a year, and liabilities of US$13.0b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.71b and US$169.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$12.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$4.93b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, PENN Entertainment would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 0.69 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that PENN Entertainment's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.7 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. If PENN Entertainment can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 19% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PENN Entertainment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, PENN Entertainment recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Both PENN Entertainment's level of total liabilities and its interest cover were discouraging. But on the brighter side of life, its net debt to EBITDA leaves us feeling more frolicsome. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think PENN Entertainment's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with PENN Entertainment , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.