Stock Analysis

China Lodging Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT) Delivered A Better ROE Than The Industry, Here’s Why

China Lodging Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT) outperformed the hotels, resorts and cruise lines industry on the basis of its ROE – producing a higher 18.01% relative to the peer average of 11.63% over the past 12 months. However, whether this above-industry ROE is actually impressive depends on if it can be maintained. Sustainability can be gauged by a company’s financial leverage – the more debt it has, the higher ROE is pumped up in the short term, at the expense of long term interest payment burden. Let me show you what I mean by this. View our latest analysis for China Lodging Group

What you must know about ROE

Firstly, Return on Equity, or ROE, is simply the percentage of last years’ earning against the book value of shareholders’ equity. An ROE of 18.01% implies $0.18 returned on every $1 invested, so the higher the return, the better. Investors that are diversifying their portfolio based on industry may want to maximise their return in the Hotels, Resorts and Cruise Lines sector by choosing the highest returning stock. But this can be misleading as each company has different costs of equity and also varying debt levels, which could artificially push up ROE whilst accumulating high interest expense.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

Returns are usually compared to costs to measure the efficiency of capital. China Lodging Group’s cost of equity is 9.49%. Given a positive discrepancy of 8.52% between return and cost, this indicates that China Lodging Group pays less for its capital than what it generates in return, which is a sign of capital efficiency. ROE can be broken down into three different ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

NasdaqGS:HTHT Last Perf Mar 13th 18
NasdaqGS:HTHT Last Perf Mar 13th 18

The first component is profit margin, which measures how much of sales is retained after the company pays for all its expenses. The other component, asset turnover, illustrates how much revenue China Lodging Group can make from its asset base. Finally, financial leverage will be our main focus today. It shows how much of assets are funded by equity and can show how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. We can determine if China Lodging Group’s ROE is inflated by borrowing high levels of debt. Generally, a balanced capital structure means its returns will be sustainable over the long run. We can examine this by looking at China Lodging Group’s debt-to-equity ratio. The ratio currently stands at a sensible 58.89%, meaning China Lodging Group has not taken on excessive debt to drive its returns. The company is able to produce profit growth without a huge debt burden.

NasdaqGS:HTHT Historical Debt Mar 13th 18
NasdaqGS:HTHT Historical Debt Mar 13th 18

Next Steps:

While ROE is a relatively simple calculation, it can be broken down into different ratios, each telling a different story about the strengths and weaknesses of a company. China Lodging Group exhibits a strong ROE against its peers, as well as sufficient returns to cover its cost of equity. Its high ROE is not likely to be driven by high debt. Therefore, investors may have more confidence in the sustainability of this level of returns going forward. ROE is a helpful signal, but it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision.

For China Lodging Group, I've compiled three pertinent factors you should look at:

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Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

About NasdaqGS:HTHT

H World Group

Develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People’s Republic of China.

Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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