Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Have Stalled

NasdaqGS:CHDN
Source: Shutterstock

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. That's why when we briefly looked at Churchill Downs' (NASDAQ:CHDN) ROCE trend, we were pretty happy with what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Churchill Downs is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) รท (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = US$684m รท (US$7.2b - US$763m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Therefore, Churchill Downs has an ROCE of 11%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 10% generated by the Hospitality industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Churchill Downs

roce
NasdaqGS:CHDN Return on Capital Employed September 23rd 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Churchill Downs compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Churchill Downs for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Churchill Downs Tell Us?

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 11% and the business has deployed 181% more capital into its operations. 11% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Churchill Downs has consistently earned this amount. Over long periods of time, returns like these might not be too exciting, but with consistency they can pay off in terms of share price returns.

The Bottom Line On Churchill Downs' ROCE

The main thing to remember is that Churchill Downs has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. And long term investors would be thrilled with the 127% return they've received over the last five years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we still believe the stock deserves further research.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Churchill Downs that we think you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.