Churchill Downs Incorporated

NasdaqGS:CHDN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.8b

Churchill Downs Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Churchill Downs is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.3% and 7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 32% in 3 years.

Key information

16.3%

Earnings growth rate

16.4%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth25.3%
Revenue growth rate7.0%
Future return on equity32.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN)?

Dec 16
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN)?

Is Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN) Trading At A 28% Discount?

Nov 18
Is Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN) Trading At A 28% Discount?

Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Oct 08
Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Returns On Capital At Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Have Stalled

Sep 23
Returns On Capital At Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Have Stalled

Is It Time To Consider Buying Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN)?

Sep 08
Is It Time To Consider Buying Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN)?

Churchill Downs: Still Under The Radar, Still An Excellent Business

Sep 03

Is Now The Time To Put Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) On Your Watchlist?

Aug 08
Is Now The Time To Put Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) On Your Watchlist?

An Intrinsic Calculation For Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

Jul 11
An Intrinsic Calculation For Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

Returns On Capital At Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Have Stalled

Jun 21
Returns On Capital At Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Have Stalled

Churchill Downs: Solid Performing Gaming Stock Eschews Scale For EBITDA Growth

Jun 10

Here's Why Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Jun 08
Here's Why Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

When Should You Buy Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN)?

May 27
When Should You Buy Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN)?

Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Apr 29
Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Churchill Downs: Making A Wager On This Proven Compounder

Apr 28

Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price

Mar 31
Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price

What Does Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Share Price Indicate?

Feb 14
What Does Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Share Price Indicate?

Churchill Downs: Accelerating Growth Might Justify High Valuation

Feb 06

Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Jan 08
Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Dec 21
Churchill Downs Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CHDN) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Churchill Downs: Ellis Park Acquisition Should Accelerate Growth

Oct 19

Churchill Downs to divest 49% of United Tote to New York Racing Association

Aug 12

Churchill Downs Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Jul 26

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:CHDN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20263,1516038279159
12/31/20253,00351453283111
12/31/20242,73242317978411
9/30/20242,671411153749N/A
6/30/20242,61540819675N/A
3/31/20242,493342-52645N/A
12/31/20232,462417-71606N/A
9/30/20232,381361-46612N/A
6/30/20232,191357-43559N/A
3/31/20232,00555382618N/A
12/31/20221,81043980537N/A
9/30/20221,695482156493N/A
6/30/20221,704486277506N/A
3/31/20221,637255356491N/A
12/31/20211,597249244336N/A
9/30/20211,511222195272N/A
6/30/20211,455204143275N/A
3/31/20211,12572-12079N/A
12/31/20201,05414-92142N/A
9/30/20201,0562-94167N/A
6/30/20201,025-26-61152N/A
3/31/20201,31710679263N/A
12/31/20191,330140126290N/A
9/30/20191,268143186323N/A
6/30/20191,18318692250N/A
3/31/20191,08518069212N/A
12/31/20181,00918348198N/A
9/30/201896921030183N/A
6/30/2018945165N/A209N/A
3/31/2018904134N/A206N/A
12/31/2017883122N/A215N/A
9/30/2017496104N/A205N/A
6/30/201760299N/A228N/A
3/31/201770295N/A226N/A
12/31/201682296N/A231N/A
9/30/20161,30388N/A230N/A
6/30/20161,27983N/A237N/A
3/31/20161,25069N/A241N/A
12/31/201579970N/A265N/A
9/30/20151,10843N/A251N/A
6/30/20151,00243N/A217N/A
3/31/201589645N/A179N/A
12/31/201481246N/A142N/A
9/30/201480754N/A145N/A
6/30/201481960N/A164N/A
3/31/201479952N/A150N/A
12/31/201377954N/A145N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CHDN's forecast earnings growth (16.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: CHDN's earnings (16.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CHDN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CHDN's revenue (7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CHDN's revenue (7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CHDN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (32%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:40
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Churchill Downs Incorporated is covered by 23 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Zachary SilverbergBerenberg
Shaun KelleyBofA Global Research
Justin SebastianoBrean Capital