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Bloomin' Brands' (NASDAQ:BLMN) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLMN) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 71% on the 15th of March to $0.24, up from last year's comparable payment of $0.14. The payment will take the dividend yield to 2.0%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Bloomin' Brands
Bloomin' Brands' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Prior to this announcement, Bloomin' Brands' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend extends its recent trend, estimates say the dividend could reach 18%, which we would be comfortable to see continuing.
Bloomin' Brands' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Bloomin' Brands has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 8 years was $0.24 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.56. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Bloomin' Brands May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings have grown at around 2.0% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 2.0% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. While this isn't necessarily a negative, it definitely signals that dividend growth could be constrained in the future unless earnings start to pick up again.
In Summary
Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Bloomin' Brands (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:BLMN
Bloomin' Brands
Through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, polished casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.