Stock Analysis

Is Brunswick (NYSE:BC) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:BC
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Brunswick Corporation (NYSE:BC) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Brunswick's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Brunswick had US$2.43b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$331.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BC Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is Brunswick's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Brunswick had liabilities of US$1.66b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.36b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$331.7m as well as receivables valued at US$568.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$3.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Brunswick has a market capitalization of US$6.04b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.9, Brunswick uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 8.5 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Unfortunately, Brunswick saw its EBIT slide 6.0% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Brunswick's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Brunswick's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Brunswick's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But we do take some comfort from its interest cover. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Brunswick is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Brunswick has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Brunswick is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.