Stock Analysis

Is Rollins (NYSE:ROL) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:ROL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Rollins, Inc. (NYSE:ROL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Rollins

How Much Debt Does Rollins Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Rollins had debt of US$490.8m, up from US$54.9m in one year. However, it does have US$104.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$386.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ROL Debt to Equity History March 18th 2024

A Look At Rollins' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Rollins had liabilities of US$576.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$863.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$104.8m as well as receivables valued at US$215.2m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.12b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Rollins has a humongous market capitalization of US$22.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Rollins's net debt is only 0.56 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 31.0 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Rollins grew its EBIT by 20% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Rollins can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Rollins recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, Rollins's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Rollins is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Another factor that would give us confidence in Rollins would be if insiders have been buying shares: if you're conscious of that signal too, you can find out instantly by clicking this link.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Rollins is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.