Stock Analysis

Paycom Software, Inc.'s (NYSE:PAYC) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

With its stock down 13% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Paycom Software's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Paycom Software is:

32% = US$502m ÷ US$1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.32.

See our latest analysis for Paycom Software

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Paycom Software's Earnings Growth And 32% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Paycom Software has a significantly high ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 20% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Under the circumstances, Paycom Software's considerable five year net income growth of 26% was to be expected.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Paycom Software's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 10% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:PAYC Past Earnings Growth April 9th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is PAYC fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Paycom Software Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Paycom Software's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 18%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 82% of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

While Paycom Software has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 18% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Paycom Software's future ROE will drop to 21% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Paycom Software's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:PAYC

Paycom Software

Provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States.

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
IM
HOH logo
Imthetxarbi on High Arctic Overseas Holdings ·

Deep Value Multi Bagger Opportunity

Fair Value:CA$471.5% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.7% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
965 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

DE
IVN logo
Defiant on Ivanhoe Mines ·

The Kamoa-Kakula mine is utilizing the Lobito Atlantic Railway Corridor to transport its copper concentrate to the deep-water Atlantic Ocean port of Lobito in Angola. This rail link provides a significantly shorter, quicker, and more cost-effective export route compared to previous methods. Key Details :) Route: The railway runs approximately 1,739 kilometers from Kolwezi in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) to the port of Lobito in Angola. The line passes within five kilometers of the Kamoa-Kakula mining complex. Benefits: Reduced Distance & Time: The distance to Lobito is roughly half that to the previously used port of Durban, South Africa. An initial trial shipment by rail took only eight days, compared to the 40 to 50 days typical for road transport to Durban. Cost Efficiency: Logistics currently account for about 30% of Kamoa-Kakula's total cash costs, a figure expected to decrease significantly with increased rail usage. Environmental Impact: Transportation by rail is more energy-efficient and less carbon-intensive than long-haul trucking. SADLY zero action from DRC in 2025 to spend a few bucks ($100M) and cut the cost of Trucking (Logistics) in half... Smelter gets Volumes down from 30% concentrate to 99% Blister Copper and cuts out the Middle Men. Solar Power looks promising 60MW in 2026. The Real Prize is Western Forelands... 40+years of 1 Billion pounds of copper with about 90% working interest and very high grades (3% overall) and the size of the prize doubled in May 2025 when disaster struck Kamoa Kakula complex. We'll see if production grows back to 600,000 Tonnes/year or x2200 = 1.32 Billion lbs of copper per year... from 400kT = 880 million lbs per year in 2025. 40% w.i. = 350 million lbs to Ivanhoe. in comparison... The Vicuña copper district has massive resources, with overall averages around 0.35% copper in measured/indicated (M&I) and 0.32% in inferred, but features much higher-grade cores, like Filo del Sol's M&I at 0.74% Cu.

0
|
0