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Assessing Maximus (MMS) Valuation as Shares Gain 17.8% Over 90 Days

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Maximus (MMS) saw its stock move recently, leaving investors curious about what is driving sentiment around the company. As shares adjust, many are looking at recent market trends and the company's growth numbers for clues.
See our latest analysis for Maximus.
Looking at the bigger picture, Maximus shares are up over 10% so far this year and have delivered a resilient 17.8% gain over the last 90 days, even as the 1-year total shareholder return sits at -6%. Recent momentum suggests investors are warming to Maximus' growth prospects despite short-term volatility.
If you’re keeping an eye out for other companies showing renewed energy, this is a great time to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership
With shares still trading well below analysts’ price targets and Maximus showing steady earnings growth, investors may be considering whether the current valuation reflects hidden upside or if the market has already factored in all the future potential.
Most Popular Narrative: 20% Undervalued
With Maximus shares last closing at $84.02 and the narrative fair value pegged at $105, the widely followed narrative sees considerable upside still on the table. Eyes are now on whether Maximus can deliver on the operational and industry tailwinds expected in the coming years.
Public sector digital transformation is accelerating adoption of technology-enabled citizen services and cloud-based solutions. These are areas where Maximus has built technical capabilities and secured new federal wins (DoD cybersecurity/cloud contracts), which should drive multi-year contract revenue and margin tailwinds. Persistent government focus on cost efficiency and accountability is increasing the use of performance-based contracting and outsourcing to conflict-free, experienced partners like Maximus. This is expected to support higher U.S. Services segment growth rates and improve margin sustainability.
Want the story behind this bullish target? There's a financial engine here projecting bigger margins, higher earnings, and a future multiple rarely seen in government services. Find out what powerful trends are fueling such optimism in the full fair value narrative.
Result: Fair Value of $105 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, heavy reliance on government contracts and the risk from rapid technology shifts could present challenges for Maximus' strong growth trajectory in the future.
Find out about the key risks to this Maximus narrative.
Build Your Own Maximus Narrative
Feel like the current narrative misses the mark, or want to dig into the numbers yourself? It only takes a few minutes to craft your own perspective and see how it stacks up. Do it your way
A great starting point for your Maximus research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:MMS
Undervalued with proven track record.
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