Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Leidos Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LDOS)

NYSE:LDOS
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There wouldn't be many who think Leidos Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:LDOS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Professional Services industry in the United States is similar at about 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Leidos Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LDOS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How Has Leidos Holdings Performed Recently?

Leidos Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Leidos Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Leidos Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.8%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 26% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.8% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 7.4% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Leidos Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Leidos Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Leidos Holdings' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Leidos Holdings.

If you're unsure about the strength of Leidos Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Leidos Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.