Stock Analysis

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Published
NYSE:GEO

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So on that note, GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for GEO Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = US$328m ÷ (US$3.6b - US$389m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

Thus, GEO Group has an ROCE of 10%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 10%.

View our latest analysis for GEO Group

NYSE:GEO Return on Capital Employed September 5th 2024

In the above chart we have measured GEO Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for GEO Group .

How Are Returns Trending?

GEO Group is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. Looking at the data, we can see that even though capital employed in the business has remained relatively flat, the ROCE generated has risen by 36% over the last five years. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. On that front, things are looking good so it's worth exploring what management has said about growth plans going forward.

The Bottom Line On GEO Group's ROCE

In summary, we're delighted to see that GEO Group has been able to increase efficiencies and earn higher rates of return on the same amount of capital. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 14% in the last five years. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

If you'd like to know more about GEO Group, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

While GEO Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.