Will RTX’s (RTX) German Navy Deal Redefine Its Competitive Position in Global Defense Markets?

Simply Wall St
  • Raytheon, part of RTX, recently announced the launch of its SharpSight surveillance radar and secured a major contract to provide its advanced SPY-6(V)1 radar for eight German F127 frigates, marking the first international sale of the SPY-6 system.
  • This combination of new technology development and global customer expansion puts RTX at the forefront of next-generation defense and surveillance capabilities.
  • We’ll now explore how this German Navy contract win could reshape RTX’s long-term outlook for advanced radar systems and global defense revenue.

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RTX Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in RTX, you need to believe in sustained global defense demand and the company's ability to consistently win large international contracts, such as the recent SPY-6 radar deal with Germany. While this announcement supports RTX's position as a preferred defense supplier and enhances its order backlog, it does not materially change the immediate short-term catalysts or soften the most prominent risk, reliance on government budgets and exposure to defense spending shifts.

The recent announcement of Raytheon's selection to equip eight German F127 frigates with SPY-6 radars is directly relevant, strengthening RTX's visibility in the global defense market and backing the company's already robust $236 billion backlog. This milestone complements the narrative that international defense contracts can drive future growth, even as margin pressures from tariffs and policy risks persist.

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Read the full narrative on RTX (it's free!)

RTX's narrative projects $97.7 billion revenue and $8.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.3% yearly revenue growth and a $2.8 billion earnings increase from $6.1 billion.

Uncover how RTX's forecasts yield a $166.56 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

RTX Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

The Simply Wall St Community's fair value estimates for RTX range from US$117.66 to US$166.56, based on seven independent views. These diverging opinions meet a catalyst of global defense spending growth, highlighting why your perspective on future contracts will shape your own RTX assessment.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on RTX - why the stock might be worth 26% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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