Is Vertical Aerospace’s (EVTL) In-House Manufacturing Shift a Turning Point in Its Path to Commercialization?

Simply Wall St
  • Earlier this month, Vertical Aerospace announced the launch of its first dedicated manufacturing sites for both aircraft assembly at Cotswold Airport and battery production at Avonmouth, significantly expanding its UK operational footprint and enabling initial production of its VX4 electric aircraft.
  • This move signals Vertical’s transition from prototype development to early-stage commercial production, improving its readiness for certification and future scaling of manufacturing operations.
  • We’ll explore how expanding in-house manufacturing capacity shapes Vertical Aerospace’s investment narrative as it advances toward commercialization of the VX4.

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What Is Vertical Aerospace's Investment Narrative?

To be a shareholder in Vertical Aerospace, you need conviction in the potential for electric aviation to reshape both the aerospace sector and urban mobility. The launch of Vertical’s first dedicated manufacturing sites marks a shift from vision to tangible execution, signaling that the company is moving closer to commercial operations and, critically, toward certification for its VX4 aircraft. This progress could strengthen near-term investor confidence by addressing prior concerns about Vertical’s readiness and manufacturing scale. While inclusion in the S&P Global BMI Index is likely to enhance the stock’s visibility and potentially its liquidity, the biggest immediate catalysts remain centered on progress with certification, ramp-up to limited production, and the company’s ability to secure fresh orders. However, risks also evolve: high monthly losses, shareholder dilution from further capital raising, and a relatively new board and management team all still pose significant uncertainties. The outlook relies heavily on successful execution, balancing early achievements with ongoing financial and execution risks.
However, despite new production capacity, the risk from continued cash burn is too important to overlook.

Our expertly prepared valuation report on Vertical Aerospace implies its share price may be too high.

Exploring Other Perspectives

EVTL Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
Six members of the Simply Wall St Community have estimated Vertical Aerospace’s fair value from £7.88 up to £35 per share. This diversity highlights just how much conviction, risk appetite, and expectations can differ. Against this spectrum, keep in mind the company’s recent move toward manufacturing doesn’t fully solve its recurring operating losses, which could remain a decisive factor for many investors.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Vertical Aerospace - why the stock might be worth just $7.88!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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