Stock Analysis

Curtiss-Wright (CW): Assessing Valuation Following Strong Share Price Momentum

Curtiss-Wright (CW) has recently caught the attention of investors following its steady climb over the past month, recording a gain of 13%. Many are curious to see whether this momentum can continue, as the company maintains consistent earnings growth.

See our latest analysis for Curtiss-Wright.

After a standout month, this surge in Curtiss-Wright's share price is just the latest in a long run of gains. The stock has delivered a massive 71% year-to-date share price return and an impressive 70% total return over the last year. With momentum clearly building, investors are taking notice of the company’s consistent growth and relative strength compared to sector peers.

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But with such a strong run behind it and shares now trading above most analyst targets, the key question is whether Curtiss-Wright is undervalued or if the market has already priced in all future growth.

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Most Popular Narrative: 5.6% Overvalued

With Curtiss-Wright closing at $601.63, well above the fair value estimate of $569.50, the most popular narrative signals the market is placing a meaningful premium on the company’s prospects. This sets the stage for a bold thesis driving the current view among the consensus audience.

Rising defense spending and nuclear sector growth are driving sustained long-term revenue and margin expansion, with strong international demand and a robust order pipeline. Focus on advanced technologies, disciplined capital allocation, and expanded shareholder returns positions the company for profitable growth and potential market undervaluation.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know the growth blueprint behind this high valuation? The core of this narrative is a powerful blend of next-gen tech adoption and a bet on multi-year profit expansion. The real kicker is how bold forecasts of compounded earnings and margin gains set a sky-high bar. Find out what assumptions are fueling the optimism in this popular valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $569.50 (OVERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, heavy reliance on major defense contracts and rapid shifts toward software solutions could threaten Curtiss-Wright’s growth trajectory and future market share.

Find out about the key risks to this Curtiss-Wright narrative.

Build Your Own Curtiss-Wright Narrative

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A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Curtiss-Wright.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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