Armstrong World Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:AWI) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.4x Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (NYSE:AWI) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Armstrong World Industries as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Armstrong World Industries

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Armstrong World Industries will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Armstrong World Industries' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 46% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 14%, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Armstrong World Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Armstrong World Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Armstrong World Industries that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Armstrong World Industries. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.