Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ALSN)?

NYSE:ALSN
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While Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ALSN) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Allison Transmission Holdings’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Allison Transmission Holdings

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Still Cheap?

Great news for investors – Allison Transmission Holdings is still trading at a fairly cheap price. Our valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $172.05, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. Another thing to keep in mind is that Allison Transmission Holdings’s share price may be quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Allison Transmission Holdings look like?

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NYSE:ALSN Earnings and Revenue Growth January 1st 2025

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 9.9% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Allison Transmission Holdings, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Even though growth is relatively muted, since ALSN is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to increase your holdings in the stock. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ALSN for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy ALSN. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed buy.

If you'd like to know more about Allison Transmission Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Allison Transmission Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Allison Transmission Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.