Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Albany International (NYSE:AIN) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:AIN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Albany International Corp. (NYSE:AIN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Albany International

How Much Debt Does Albany International Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Albany International had US$428.9m of debt, an increase on US$394.9m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$307.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$121.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AIN Debt to Equity History May 4th 2022

A Look At Albany International's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Albany International had liabilities of US$178.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$537.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$307.4m as well as receivables valued at US$319.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$88.6m.

Since publicly traded Albany International shares are worth a total of US$2.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Albany International has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.49. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that Albany International has increased its EBIT by 2.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Albany International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Albany International produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Albany International's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Albany International's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Albany International, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.