Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.
So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like AGCO (NYSE:AGCO). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide AGCO with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.
Check out our latest analysis for AGCO
AGCO's Improving Profits
In the last three years AGCO's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. In previous twelve months, AGCO's EPS has risen from US$11.97 to US$12.97. That's a fair increase of 8.3%.
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. AGCO maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 16% to US$13b. That's a real positive.
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.
Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for AGCO.
Are AGCO Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$8.7b company like AGCO. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Holding US$68m worth of stock in the company is no laughing matter and insiders will be committed in delivering the best outcomes for shareholders. That's certainly enough to let shareholders know that management will be very focussed on long term growth.
Does AGCO Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
One important encouraging feature of AGCO is that it is growing profits. To add an extra spark to the fire, significant insider ownership in the company is another highlight. That combination is very appealing. So yes, we do think the stock is worth keeping an eye on. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for AGCO (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
Although AGCO certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AGCO
AGCO
Manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and replacement parts worldwide.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.
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